Our football prediction expert gives you his best bets for Monaco Lille, counting for the 8th day of Ligue 1, this Friday at 8:45 p.m.
Monaco Lille prediction: bets, context and line-ups
Best bets for Monaco Lille: odds and odds
- Monaco victory ⭐ @ 1.95 on Vbet, representing a probability of 51.28% that Monaco beats Lille.
- Less than 2.5 goals in the match ⭐ @ 2.10 on Vbet, representing a probability of 48.78% whether the match involves two goals or less.
- Monaco scores first ⭐ @ 1.67 on Vbet, representing a probability of 59.88% that Monaco opened the scoring.
The Ligue 1 leaders could secure a 1-0 home win to increase the pressure on title holders PSG.
Odds are provided by Vbet at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams
Our predictions for Monaco vs Lille indicate a hard-fought match, with Ligue 1 leaders Monaco hosting Lille on Friday evening in an attempt to increase their lead over reigning champions PSG.
Monaco are unbeaten in their first seven Ligue 1 2024/25 matches. They have won three and drawn one in their four home matches. In addition, they showed that the Stade Louis II is a fortress by recently winning their Champions League match against ten-man FC Barcelona.
The hosts will be without their main striker, Folarin Balogun, injured for a few weeks. Breel Embolo or Wissam Ben Yedder should replace him on Friday evening.
Lille have also started the season well but have lost two of their seven Ligue 1 games. However, their recent Champions League victory against Real Madrid will no doubt give them confidence.
With two wins and one defeat away, Lille’s defeat came against 13th-placed side Saint-Étienne, suggesting they may underperform on the road.
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Probable squads for Monaco Lille
Monaco’s probable composition in 3-4-2-1:
Kohn ; Singo, Mawissa, Kehrer, Vanderson, Ouattara, Camara, Zakaria, Minamino, Ben Seghir, Embolo.
Players absent: Majecki ; Diop.
The probable composition of Lille in 4-2-3-1:
Knight ; Meunier, Gudmundsson, Diakité, Alexsandro, André, André Gomes, Zhegrova, Sahraoui, Angel Gomes, David.
Players absent: Umtiti; Ismaili; Bentaleb; Haraldsson; Mukau; Mbappé.
The best bets to take for Monaco Lille
Our safety prediction: Monaco vs Lille 1 prediction – Monaco victory @ 1.95 on Vbet
First of all, it is worth highlighting Monaco’s very good start to the season. With six wins and one draw, Monaco opened up a two-point lead over PSG, the reigning champions. They will certainly be keen to put on another show against fifth-placed Lille.
Although Lille have only conceded 0.33 goals per away game this season, their xGA (expected goals against) is almost three times that figure (0.92), suggesting they may have -relying on luck to maintain clean sheets on the road.
Monaco beat Lille 1-0 at home last April, showing they are fully capable of achieving a positive result again this time.
The only uncertainty is the absence of key striker Folarin Balogun, sidelined with a muscle injury. Much is expected of his probable replacement, Breel Embolo, who will have to lead the attack.
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Our goals prediction: Monaco vs Lille 2 prediction – Less than 2.5 goals in the match @ 2.10 on Vbet
In our predictions for Monaco vs Lille, this meeting between the first and the fifth in the championship promises to be more of a close match than an open and expansive meeting, according to the data from the matches at the Stade Louis II.
Monaco have conceded just 0.75 goals per game at home, while Lille have conceded just 0.33 away this season. Additionally, Lille have kept a clean sheet in two thirds (67%) of their away matches this season.
Additionally, only 25% of Monaco’s home games ended with three or more goals, and 33% of Lille’s away games suffered the same fate. With the absence of Folarin Balogun, it also takes away some firepower from Monaco. Betting on under 2.5 goals at higher odds seems like great value to us.
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Our key prediction: Monaco vs Lille 3 prediction – Monaco scores first @ 1.67 on Vbet
Another reason to believe in a Monaco victory is that they have a good chance of opening the scoring on Friday night. The Red and Whites have scored first in six of their seven Ligue 1 games so far this season.
Additionally, 42% of their goals this season have been scored in the first 30 minutes, compared to just 23% of Lille’s goals.
It’s also important to note that Monaco have a more efficient shot-on-target conversion rate, with 15% of their shots on target converting into goals, compared to Lille’s 12%.
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