Our football prediction expert gives you his best bets for Dortmund PSG, counting for the Champions League semi-final first leg.
Dortmund PSG prediction: bets, context and lines
Our betting expert has prepared predictions for the match between Dortmund and PSG ahead of their Champions League clash on May 1 for the first leg of the semi-finals of the competition.
Best bets for Dortmund PSG
- PSG victory ⭐ with odds of 2.40 on Betsson, i.e. 41% chance that the Parisian club wins.
- Kylian Mbappé scorer ⭐ with odds of 2.00 on Betsson, i.e. 50% chance that the French striker scores.
- Both teams score ⭐ with odds of 1.44 on Betsson, giving 69% chance that both clubs find the net.
Odds are provided by Betsson at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams
Dortmund hosts PSG for the first leg of the Champions League semi-final. After their incredible upset against Barcelona in the previous round, the French club will be confident of beating Dortmund in Germany.
Since their resounding victory against Barcelona, PSG has scored at will. In their last three matches in Ligue 1, PSG have scored eleven goals and remain unbeaten since their victory in Spain.
Dortmund enters this match after a heavy defeat against Leipzig during their last outing. Having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, containing Kylian Mbappé will be a difficult task.
The probable lineups for Dortmund PSG
The probable composition of Dortmund:
Kobel; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Sabitzer, Can, Brandt; Sancho, Fullkrug, Malen.
The probable composition of PSG:
Donnarumma; Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Mendes; Lee, Ugarte, Vitinha; Dembele, Ramos, Mbappe.
We have seen a more resilient approach from PSG in the Champions League this season. Desperate to win this tournament, they showed real progress, notably eliminating Barcelona in the quarter-finals. It wasn’t a fluke. Their dominant performance in Spain, scoring four goals against Barcelona, showed thatThey are capable of going all the way this year. Although Dortmund have also impressed in the competition, they have struggled to keep a clean sheet recently. Therefore, containing PSG’s attackers will be a difficult task.
Prediction 2: Kylian Mbappé scorer @ 2.00 with Betsson
If PSG are to win this match, it is fair to say that Kylian Mbappé will have his say. He is currently enjoying his best campaign in the Champions League. The Frenchman has scored eight goals in just ten games. He scored a brace against Barcelona in the previous round. Mbappé followed this performance with a brace against Lorient in the league. In a season where he has already crossed the forty goal mark, few teams have managed to stop Mbappé. As PSG’s designated penalty taker, he is certainly capable of scoring again in Germany.
Prediction 3: Both teams score @ 1.44 with Betsson
Although we favor the Parisians to come away with the three points, the hosts will certainly not make it easy for the French club. Having eliminated Atlético Madrid in the previous round, Dortmund scored four goals against them in their home match. It showed how good they were on their home field. Dortmund come into this match having scored in each of their last five games in all competitions. They have scored in all but one of their home games in 2024. Few expected to see these two teams face each other in the semi-final. Therefore, expect lots of fireworks and goals, followed by some errors in defense to help us win our latest bet.
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