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Published on
Jan. 24, 2025 at 12:30 p.m.
Warm and drier (only on part of the country). It is, in essence, in this way that Météo-France designs the next three months. In these trends For February, March and April published on January 22, 2025, the meteorological site tables a softer scenario in France and drier in the south compared to seasonal norms.
With the end of January 2025 marked by the Eowyn storm, Météo-France expects Handcraft conditions “More frequent than normal on most of Europe”.
Warm than normal?
On the temperature side therefore, Météo-France presumes 70 % probabilities according to which the next three months will be warmer than normal. Before clarifying that “predictability is good enough for this quarter”.
The scenario that temperatures should comply with seasonal norms is 20 % and, colder, 10 %.
This is not necessarily what will happen
These are only trends, scenarios envisaged, probabilities, and not at all forecasts.
-“The climatic trend only strives to determine if the coming season will be rather hot, colder than normal season or simply near. An average trend in accordance with normal can be the result of a succession of cold and hot episodes, ”explains Météo France on its site.
Dryer conditions in the South?
The months of February, April and May may see less rain fall compared to the end of 2024. “Conditions drier than normal are likely in the south France and more generally around the Mediterranean basin, ”gives as a weather trend-France.
Other clarification:
Only northern regions should see more disturbances circulate than normal.
For the North and the Center of France, “no scenario is privileged”. On the probability side, the site tables more wet months at 50 %, more compliant with 25 %and drier at 25 %.
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