The appointment of François Bayrou as prime minister did not fundamentally change the parliamentary situation for the future government. Its fragile base in the National Assembly does not allow it to be protected from the risk of a new censorship, of the type that swept away Michel Barnier's team, after only three months at Matignon.
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During the transfer of power with his predecessor, Friday December 13, the president of MoDem did not offer any clarification as to his intentions in this matter. “It is urgent to get out of the game of political parties who pretend to want to govern,” he said on August 18, in an interview with Figarocalling for respect “the logic of the Ve Republic: the executive power is independent of the legislative power ». Now in Matignon, can Mr. Bayrou avoid dealing with what he presents as blocking forces, if he hopes to have up to 289 deputies supporting him, the absolute majority in the National Assembly?
With a group of only 36 deputies, the new prime minister seems to be starting from an even more fragile position than that of Michel Barnier, from the Les Républicains (LR) party, with a group of 47 elected officials. Relations within the presidential coalition, made up of Renaissance, Horizons and therefore MoDem, are far from always harmonious. However, while Renaissance had provided support “without a blank check” to Michel Barnier in the hours following his appointment, Gabriel Attal's party this time avoided any warnings. The 163 seats in the central block – including Renaissance, MoDem and Horizons – therefore appear to be the minimum base on which François Bayrou can hope to rely.
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