Two teams massively underperforming in European play find themselves in need of a signature win as Bayern Munich and PSG square off from Bavaria in the new-look Champions League.
Through the first half of League Phase play, these two European giants have combined for just three total wins across eight matches, with Bayern sitting 17th in the overall table and PSG facing even more dire circumstances in 25th.
Just the top eight sides in the final standings earn an immediate pass to the Round of 16, while the next 16 must contest a playoff round and the bottom eight are eliminated outright. This means Bayern are well off the pace for an outright bye while PSG currently occupy the first elimination position.
Both clubs hold comfortable leads in their domestic league tables, but those accomplishments pale in comparison to European play as both managers know an early exit from the Champions League would leave their job security in considerable peril.
MORE: A complete guide to betting on soccer in the United States
Bayern Munich vs. PSG prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Bayern Munich (-175 on BetMGM)
- Score prediction: Bayern Munich 2-1 PSG
Bayern have had PSG’s number across their numerous Champions League matchups, even as the French side boasted some of the world’s most formidable attacking stars.
Tuesday’s hosts have won six of their last eight all-time meetings, dating back to September of 2017. Furthermore, in those six Bayern Munich victories, PSG were shut out in four of them, scoring just two total goals in those defeats, while it took a three-goal outburst to secure both of their victories.
At this point, Bayern are just a more complete team, and while both sides see their greatest weaknesses in midfield, Josh Kimmich and Leon Goretzka should manage to boss the match effectively.
| BetMGM (USA) | |
| Bayern win | -175 |
| Draw | +350 |
| PSG win | +400 |
| Both teams to score | Y: -190 N: +130 |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | O: +110 U: -150 |
| Bayern -1.5 goals | +130 |
| PSG +1.5 goals | -190 |
Bayern Munich vs. PSG match facts
- Date: Tuesday, November 26, 2024
- Kickoff Time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
- Location: Allianz Arena (Munich, Germany)
- Referee: Istvan Kovacs (ROM)
- Last meeting: Bayern Munich 2-0 PSG (Mar. 8, 2023 | Champions League)
Bayern Munich vs. PSG best bet
- Pick: Under 3.5 total goals
- Odds: -150 (BetMGM)
Dayot Upamecano has been known for a host of high-profile defensive gaffes over the past year, and his partnership with Kim Min-Jae has yet to develop into one of Europe’s best as it was thought, but the Bayern Munich defense has quietly hit a strong run of form.
Since the embarrassing 4-1 defeat to Barcelona in late October, Bayern Munich have not conceded a single goal over their last six matches across all competitions. Not all clean sheets are alike, but these have been well-earned — they have allowed just 26 total shots across those six games, including an astonishing six total efforts over their last three games, holding Benfica to just one measly attempt in their last Champions League match.
Flip things around, and PSG have somehow held their opponents to the fewest number of shots of any team in the Champions League thus far. While it hasn’t translated to success on the scoresheet, that is an indication that Bayern may not experience the joy they’re used to in front of goal.
Bayern Munich vs. PSG prop bet
While Michael Olise’s early-season form has faded somewhat, Jamal Musiala’s has not. The Germany wonderkid has been electric in recent weeks, even amidst the October slump as the rest of his team faltered around him.
Musiala has found the net in two of his last four league games, along with the team’s only goal in the 1-0 Champions League victory over Benfica. While he blanked over the weekend against Augsburg, he ripped off an insane TEN total shots without finding the back of the net, and he had four against Benfica while profiting. He even scored for Germany on the recent international break, one of many in the 7-0 win over Bosnia & Herzegovina.
The 21-year-old is +180 to score anytime, but given his additional creative influence (2.38 xA in Bundesliga play plus a pair of assists against Dinamo Zagreb in Bayern’s Champions League opener), it’s worth taking the hit on return in a game where goals could be a bit harder to come by than the odds suggest.
