The last meeting is on Monday evening Matchday of the Nations League League A In the PGE Narodowy in Warsaw the hosts Poland face the Scottish national team. While the Poles want to avoid a worst-case scenario with relegation to League B by getting at least one point against the guests from the island, they in turn want to emerge as winners from this encounter. After the success against Croatia on the penultimate matchday (1-0), they are on the verge of avoiding the relegation to League B, which was believed to be certain, at the last moment and in order to achieve this they need a win in Warsaw.
In our Poland vs. Scotland tip However, we are leaning towards a point win for the Poleswhich from their point of view at least prevent relegation to League B after this mixed Nations League season.
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Coach Michal Probierz is already under a lot of pressure in the last Nations League game against Scotland after just a few months in office, because with another defeat against the defensively strong guests from the United Kingdom, Poland would also be in last place in the group after the last matchday. This would mean that the Scots would give up their place in League B, which they believed to be safe, to the Eastern Europeans at the last second.
Steve Clarke’s men gave themselves the opportunity to stay in League A on the last matchday in Warsaw with a 1-0 win over Croatia. Will they pull off the surprise and give the Red Lantern to Poland & Lewandowski at the last second? In their Poland vs. Scotland forecast, the bookmakers are uniformly assuming a victory for the hosts, which, however, will have to be fought hard for.
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Poland – Scotland odds | 4 top tips
Betting odds as of November 15, 2024, 11:45 p.m
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Poland – Statistics & Current Form
Ultimately, the hosts can only lose in this encounter. After a good first half in Porto (0-0) was followed by a catastrophic second half and had to leave the pitch with a 1-5 defeat, there is great concern about relegation to League B. Apparently they felt too confident with the mixed performances they showed. The already poor value of 2.03 expected goals conceded before the game in Portugal, was promoted 2.31 xGA after the guest appearance an.
Coach Michal Probierz’s defensive tactics no longer worked after the break and Leao’s can-opener (1-0) was followed by four more goals, which the third-worst defense in the competition (14 goals conceded) simply took note of. The coach should be particularly worried about the manner of the defeat, because with the Scots a mentality monster is coming to Warsaw and even the bookmakers do not completely rule out a bad surprise in their Poland vs. Scotland forecast with a view to the betting odds.
Poland’s offensive around Lewa cannot support its defense
With only 0.70 xGoals and one consolation goal actually scored (after Portugal had already scored five goals), they left the pitch in Porto on Friday evening. Previously, they were able to produce an average of 0.91 xGoals in all games, but even with this value, staying in League A would be flattering (14th place). The teammates don’t get their star Robert Lewandowski on the show too often and the hosts are depriving themselves of their most valuable offensive force.
Only two progressive passes have reached the top striker on average in the last three games, which means that he practically does not take part in the game due to the intensive marking of his opponents. So far, Michal Probierz has only been able to find the approach in the first leg in Glasgow, where Lewandowski scored his last goal to date. However, it can be assumed that the guests have learned their lessons from this game.
Expected line-up of Poland:
Injured and suspended players from Poland:
Last matches of Poland:
Scotland – Statistics & Current Form
After the late home win against Croatia (1-0 in the 88th minute), hope of remaining in League A of the Nations League has been rekindled on the island. Another success in Poland would make this perfect. The first leg against the Eastern Europeans was lost at home 3-1, partly because of two goals from the top striker. Accordingly, coach Steve Clarke will have tightened the necessary screws and prepared his team optimally for this decisive showdown.
The task is formulated simply, anything other than a win will bring nothing to the Scots and they would have to face relegation to League B. However, their own offense was able to score three goals in the last three games (at 1.26 xGoals on average)there is great confidence that Ryan Christie & Tommy Conway will create a sensation in Warsaw.
On Scott McTomminay will also be a big focushe brings 90 percent of his passes go to the man and wins in the central area 93 percent ground tackles. He also represents a central component in the backward movement, because with 5.5 ball recoveries per game, he not only revitalizes his own transition and counter-attack game enormously, but also gives his own defense important breathing space.
Video: Moderator Carsten Fuß and tip specialist Marcel Niesner will guide you through the most exciting games of the 6th matchday of the Nations League with the highest value. (Source: YouTube / Betting Base)
Defense greatly improved
In the last two games against Portugal and Croatia (0-0 and 1-0), despite 1.18 expected goals against, they failed to score any goals and were therefore able to implement the coach’s instructions. After conceding seven goals in the first three games in the Nations League League A, he switched the defensive concept from a four-man chain to a five-man chain and so far the team has been able to implement all the new instructions in this defensive formation and has not yet conceded a goal after the change.
Being able to successfully keep the Portuguese’s top offensive, as well as Croatia’s Modric and Kramaric away from their own goal in consecutive games, must have given Steve Clarke’s men a big motivation boost. Since then, Scotland has played the third fewest bad passes in defense (2.01 per game).
Expected Scotland line-up:
Injured and suspended Scotland players:
Scotland’s last games:
Our Poland – Scotland tip in the odds comparison November 18th, 2024 – both meet
Betting odds as of November 18, 2024, 10:53 p.m
Poland – Scotland Direct comparison / H2H balance
So far this millennium they have played six games against each other. Both sides won one game each, all other matches ended in a draw. The winner of this game takes the lead in the historical H2H comparison. In five of the six games played, both teams scored at least once during the game.
Statistics highlights for Poland versus Scotland
Betting base forecast & Poland – Scotland Tipp
The outcome of this game will largely determine the fate of both nations in the next calendar year. On paper, the Poles have the better individual players, but the Scottish national team is one of the best-performing teams (third place) in this competition and the recent success over Croatia (1-0) has raised new hopes of staying in League A, because at the same time Poland was beaten 5-1 in Portugal after a solid first half.
However, if Poland manages to overcome the mental hurdle and put Lewandowski in the limelight – as in the first leg (3-1 win) – Scotland could face slightly bigger problems. However, since both defenses are not particularly solid and both teams were able to score in four of the last five direct encounters, we assume at least one goal from both opponents during the game.
Key facts – Poland vs. Scotland tip
- Poland & Scotland both won just 1 of their last 5 games (1-1-3)
- In 4 of the last 5 direct encounters, both teams scored during the game
- The guests have an average X-Goals value of over 1.25 goals per game
In our Poland vs. Scotland tip we therefore go with the bet: Meet both? – Yes to a rate of 1.75 at the top. If you would like to get a general overview of all the current sports betting bonuses at the various bookmakers, Wettbasis has put together an overview for its readers in the linked article.
Odds probabilities for win Poland / draw / win Scotland:
Poland – Scotland – Betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance: Over 2.5 goals: 1.87 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 1.87 @Bet365
Both teams score
AND: 1.70 @Bet365
NO: 2.00 @Bet365
Betting odds as of November 15, 2024, 11:45 p.m
