The outcome of the American presidential election still appears undecided, two days before the vote, Tuesday November 5.
The gap remains very narrow between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in many swing states.
Discover in detail the estimates of voting intentions in these “swing states”.
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US presidential election
Two more days to convince. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are increasing their rallies at the end of the electoral campaign, two days before the American presidential election. The results, expected on the night of Tuesday 5 to Wednesday 6 November and to be followed live on LCI and live on TF1info, promise to be particularly close. The outcome of the vote will be decided in seven pivotal states, which could swing the vote in favor of one camp or the other.
According to the latest poll from 538, a poll aggregator, for the American media ABC News, Kamala Harris could win the popular vote, that is to say accumulate the most votes at the national level. In total, 47.9% of voting intentions are directed towards the current Democratic vice-president, compared to 46.9% for Donald Trump. However, this score, even if it is confirmed in the polls, would not guarantee victory.
Tight gaps in all swing states
Indeed, with the system of electors and the logic of winner takes all it is for both camps to obtain a good result in each of the swing states to maximize their chances of winning the White House. In these strategic states, the estimates from this survey are still very close. All of this data is within the poll's margin of error, making the outcome of the election very uncertain.
In detail, in NevadaTrump would win with 47.9% of voting intentions against 47.1% for Harris. He would also be ahead of the Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania (47.9% versus 47.6%), in North Carolina (48.5% against 47%), in Georgia (48.5% against 47%) and Arizona (49% versus 46.5%). The Democratic candidate would stand out in the lead in the Wisconsin (48.1% against 47.1%) and in the Michigan (47.9% versus 47.1%).
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