Arriving at this point in the campaign, tudologists and futurologists decide to bet all their chips and say that candidate A or candidate B wins.
They all have a 50% chance of getting it right or wrong. Those who get it right strut their stuff on the Walk of Fame claiming undeserved wisdom – in reality, they were lucky, like someone who wins the lottery. Those who lose hope that no one remembers them and, after a short period of disgust, they return to the charge.
I don't know who will win the American presidential election, but if I were a betting man, I would bet on Kamala Harris. Not because he knows something that everyone else escapes, but because Donald Trump is scared. And fear is a sign of a lack of confidence in victory.
If he wasn't afraid of losing, Trump and his ilk wouldn't spend so much time and energy inventing lies about non-existent electoral fraud designed to discredit the process if he is defeated.
Those who are confident of victory do not complain about the referee before the game, nor about the quality of the grass, nor about the rules to which they knew, in advance, they had to be subject.
Lies are very selective. The electoral system is the same, but fraud only exists in places where Trump thinks he can lose. If in Georgia he loses the presidential election, but the Republicans win the Senate or the House of Representatives, it is because the vote reading machine, ingeniously programmed for that purpose, changed the vote that was for him, to Kamala Harris. Just that vote, on a ballot full of them. Of course, the state government is republican, all machines have been audited and there are no problems.
The only problem lives in Trump's head: the fear of losing. Of being the “loser” he calls everyone. The latest sign appeared Thursday night in the digital newspaper Axios.
In an “exclusive”, an internal campaign memo is cited, directed to the candidate, predicting victory, based on polling averages from the Real Clear Politics website. As? Is a campaign memo based on polling averages from a public website? On top of that, owned by Trump’s friends? A serious internal memo – which is not just an unsophisticated trick to manipulate the press – is based on accurate, up-to-date internal research.
If it is necessary to lie like this, to create the illusion of victory, it is because victory is not as clear as that.
