The Blues eliminated if… All possible scenarios against Poland


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Published on June 22, 2024 at 10:48 a.m. par

George Boxall

The French Team Sees Qualification for the Round of 16 of Euro 2024, But what are the conditions for a disaster for France?

Almost qualified after their draw (0-0) against The Netherlandsthe Blues of Didier Deschamps have a good chance of validating their ticket for the round of 16 by the end of this group phase, or even before playing their last match against the Poland this Tuesday. However, despite these favorable prospects, there is also a risk, even small, of seeing them eliminated.

During the match against the Netherlands, the France team had to do without Kylian Mbappé, who remained on the bench. Despite this lack of size, the Blues confirmed their defensive solidity already observed during their first meeting against Austria (1-0). However, the team also demonstrated worrying offensive inefficiency.

A Favorable but Precarious Accounting Situation

With four points on the clock, the French team is in a position to qualify among the four best third-placed teams in the group stage. However, this situation is not yet assured. If the Blues lose against Poland on Tuesday and the Netherlands lose to Austria but by a smaller margin, France could finish third in their group with four points, risking elimination.

Qualification and Elimination Scenarios

Pour Bluesthe situation will unfold according to several possible scenarios:

  • Qualification assured before Tuesday: Depending on the results of the other groups, the France team could already be qualified before playing its last match against Poland.
  • Qualification by beating Poland: A victory against Poland would not only guarantee a place in the round of 16, but could also allow the Blues to finish at the top of the group if the Netherlands do not win, or do not prevail more widely against Austria.
  • Qualification with a draw: A draw against Poland would be enough to qualify the Blues, barring the unlikely scenario of unfavorable results in the other groups.
  • Risk of elimination : The Blues would be eliminated if they lose against Poland, the Netherlands lose to Austria with a smaller margin, and France does not appear among the four best thirds.

The Blues Have Their Destiny in Their Hands

Despite the different possible combinations, the French team keeps its destiny in its hands. A result other than a defeat against Poland would ensure their presence in the round of 16. In the event of a victory, first place in the group would even be possible depending on the result of the Netherlands.

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