Authorities have been able to estimate how long it will take for France to experience an epidemic caused by the tiger mosquito.

Authorities have been able to estimate how long it will take for France to experience an epidemic caused by the tiger mosquito.
Authorities
      have
      been
      able
      to
      estimate
      how
      long
      it
      will
      take
      for
      France
      to
      experience
      an
      epidemic
      caused
      by
      the
      tiger
      mosquito.
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The tiger mosquito is now found in 78 departments in mainland France. It is so established that the diseases it carries with it could become epidemics in the future. Anses has just published an expert report, which estimates that the probability of seeing dengue fever, chikungunya or Zika become epidemics in the territory is “quite high” within five years. One of the factors that explains this risk is climate change, which has favored the development of the insect.

Adapting means to risk

“An epidemic of arbovirosis, all viruses combined, has a probability of between 6 and 7, on a scale of 0 to 9, of occurring in the next five years,” the experts at ANSES estimate more precisely. In concrete terms, this means that an outbreak of the disease is born and that it develops to the point where we can no longer link all infected people to the same household. Transmissions escape the control system, the press release states. “The management of cases of arboviruses, whether imported or indigenous, requires significant material, financial and human resources. Surveillance and control protocols require, on the one hand, tracing all contacts of the infected person over the previous 10 days and, on the other hand, monitoring the places visited by the patient in order to eliminate the tiger mosquitoes present.” For example, in 2022, dengue (…)

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