The more incompetent and dictatorial political leaders are, the more they believe themselves to be irreplaceable.
Take Xi Jinping, in a country of 1.4 billion people. He spreads the falsehood that no one can replace him. Vladimir Putin acts in the same way.
It is true that these dictators have extended their powers so much that we wonder who will succeed in managing the post-XI or the post-Putin era.
But if Justin Trudeau has several faults, it would be unfair to accuse him of having dictatorial inclinations.
However, he does not want to leave power. Because he is a notorious incompetent.
The polls for his party are all more catastrophic than the others. However, Trudeau remains in place.
A letter signed by dozens of backbenchers calls on him to leave. Regardless, he makes it known that they should discuss these issues in caucus.
Just today, four of his ministers resigned, bringing the total number of resigning ministers to six. But Trudeau does not question his leadership abilities.
Empty waiting room
Privately, many Liberals recognize that Trudeau is leading them towards disaster in the next election. But they add, who could replace him?
In fact, over the past year or two, many liberals have left the ship. Who could replace Trudeau? The waiting room of candidates for his succession remains desperately empty, except perhaps for Mark Carney, the former governor of the Bank of Canada, who has economic skills but no political experience.
Strong team
The liberals’ mistake is that they are looking for a savior. Someone who would have enough charisma to reverse electoral trends.
In fact, what they need most is a strong team, with three or four prominent people.
And then some are paralyzed by the idea that elections could be called any day, which is far from certain.
However, if Trudeau died suddenly (which I do not wish for him), the Liberal Party of Canada would quickly find someone to replace him, even at the cost of a very shortened leadership race.
Vote against Trudeau
However, as in many elections, voters who change allegiance vote against a party or candidate before voting for a party or candidate.
This is particularly true in the case of Pierre Poilievre. If the latter had a decent opponent in English Canada, he would drop in voting intentions, as polls in Quebec show.
But many federal Liberals allowed themselves to be seduced by Trudeau’s speech which made them believe that he is still the best possible choice given the tight deadline of the elections and given the lack of solid candidates to succeed him.
They believe him to be irreplaceable.
Too bad for them.
If Trudeau remains leader, the Liberal Party of Canada will receive its worst beating since its existence in the next election.
