A real summer in Belgium: June and July hotter than normal but… beware of storms and floods, “a summer 2021 type scenario? ! »
MeteoBelgique gives us the first trends for summer 2024. June and July would be drier than normal but a risk of a summer 2021 type scenario cannot be ruled out. Hoping that this does not cause the same floods that devastated Belgium at that time!
Journalist in the General Editorial Office
Published on 05/06/2024 at 11:32
We always look forward to the seasonal trends from MeteoBelgique. Especially when, like these, they concern summer. Philippe Mievis unveils the first trends for summer 2024. And what does he say? June, especially, and July will be warmer than normal. Drier, too. But there is always this same “but” relating to storms. “The three months, including this month of May, are indeed expected to be warmer than normal but we will be wary of excessive humidity in the soil and atmosphere. We are not going to dwell on this subject because we already talked about it last month,” writes the meteorologist who summarizes the context: “So, it will undoubtedly be hot even if a summer 2021 type scenario is not at hand. exclude, especially at the end of summer. It’s still a little early to say, but we will have the opportunity to come back to it if it is confirmed. In any case, storms should often play spoilsport during the coming months.”
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Station at the end of summer
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A summer 21 type scenario? Frankly, we hope that this will not be the case! Remember, in July 2021 and over a few days, the sky fell on our heads with 166.5 mm of precipitation collected in Uccle in the space of a few days. Elsewhere, notably in the provinces of Liège and Namur, it had sometimes fallen much more. This caused the floods which left our country in mourning with 39 deaths. 240 Walloon towns were affected by these terrible floods which also wreaked havoc in Germany.
While the month of May is already well underway, it is confirmed, says Philippe Mievis, that it should be milder and finally drier than normal. “But be careful, here too, of stormy phenomena: an intense storm can easily increase the rainfall ratings for the month. This will have to be taken into account.” After a mild start, the month of May should see a slight drop in temperatures. “With the weather still quite variable but a little less turbulent for the end of the first decade and the beginning of the second.” We should then have calmer weather with temperatures close to or slightly above normal. The last decade should see the return of warmer weather again. “But the stormy trend should manifest itself more and more clearly.”
>June. It therefore promises to be much warmer than normal for the month of June in Belgium (18.5° instead of 16.7° but we had 20.3° in June 2023) with 10% less precipitation than normal and 20% more sunshine. “This month should initially be warm and relatively dry and calm before a return of more unstable and stormy weather in the last decade.”
> July. A priori, explains Philippe Mievis, it will be a fairly summery month with an average temperature warmer than normal (19.9° instead of 18.7°). It would be drier (20% less precipitation) and sunnier (+20%) than normal. “But stormy damage would often remain in place. Given the distant deadline, this will be confirmed in a month.”
