Political barometer: Barnier and Bardella crush Macron and Le Pen

This is a new record, beating the previous one: Emmanuel Macron is more and more unpopular. “Yet silent, [il] sinks further”, estimates the summary of the November political barometer from Odoxa-Mascaret for Public Senate and 20 titles from the regional press

.[Emmanuel Macron] 76% of French people now think that

is not a good president

Thus, down two points compared to October, “76% of French people now think that he is not a good President”. Furthermore, he “arouses little support and a lot of rejection”, being only the 17th favorite political personality of the French, with 22%, and “second most rejected personality”, with 54%. Finally, “for the French, Emmanuel Macron has weakened the country on the political and economic front, but also on the social front”. 78% fear a movement of generalized social protest in the wake of the farmers' movement.

• 42% of French people think that Michel Barnier is a “good Prime Minister”

  2 Barnier Takeoff

  (EPA-EFE/CHRISTOPHE PETIT TESSON) [qui] As explanations for this observation, Gaël Sliman, president of Odoxa, puts forward “the political base of Barnier, who came from LR,

  is a little broader than that of Macron today.” But also an image “in the eyes of the French”, of a President who “had led the country to the edge of the precipice and, now, a serious Prime Minister was trying to repair the damage”. Michel Barnier is thus “perceived as the heir of a situation that he did not cause”, and is judged “competent” (54%), “solid” (53%) and “open to dialogue” (52 %).

• It seems that to be part of the group of leaders, you must either be one of the occupants of Matignon under Macron, or one of the leaders of the main far-right party in France.

  3 Prime Ministers in force

  (EPA-EFE/BENOIT TESSIER/POO)

  But compared to other ex-tenants of Matignon, Michel Barnier is also doing well: almost half of French people (46%) think that he “will be able to stand up to Emmanuel Macron”. “However, they were about ten points less than his predecessors (35% on Borne in December 2022 and 37% on Attal in April 2024),” notes the president of Odoxa.

• 59% of RN supporters prefer Bardella compared to only 37% who prefer Marine Le Pen

  4 At the RN, Bardella’s “takeover”

  

  (EPA-EFE/OLIVIER HOSLET)

  Thus, a shift has visibly begun: “59% of RN supporters prefer Bardella compared to only 37% who prefer Marine Le Pen”. As for the French as a whole, 29% prefer Bardella against 20% Le Pen. A “seize of power”, says the president of Odoxa, which “can also be read in our membership rating of political figures, on which symbolically, Bardella also passed in front of Le Pen”, he recalls.

Finally, “68% of French people and 53% of RN supporters believe that by saying that you would have to “have a clean criminal record to be a candidate for the RN”, Bardella has weakened Marine Le Pen”, details the summary of the barometer.