The upheaval in relations between political blocs is unprecedented in the department where, despite good resistance from the left, the RN is in a position to capture at least two constituencies if the republican alliance built around the right and the presidential majority confirms, by Tuesday, the retention of its candidates.
This is certainly not a surprise, but it is obviously an earthquake. Since last night, the prospect of seeing Haute-Vienne represented by at least one, or even several far-right deputies at the Palais-Bourbon, is no longer a political fiction scenario.
Reading the results of this historic first round, the National Rally is indeed in a position to win at least two out of three constituencies, if the “republican alternative” built around the right and the presidential majority confirms, by Tuesday, the retention of its candidates.
Only the first constituency, solid left-wing land (or so we thought until now) seems to be putting up resistance. With 36.94% of the vote, outgoing deputy Damien Maudet (New Popular Front/LFI) is ahead of RN candidate Camille Dos Santos de Oliveira by 2,367 votes. But the probable retention in the second round of Isabelle Négrier (26.99%), representative of the presidential majority, could muddy the waters of an election which is far from being a foregone conclusion.
The RN in the lead… by 19 votes in the 2nd constituency
On the 2nd constituencythe situation is a little different. In this south-western sector of the department, only 19 votes separate the RN candidate Sabrina Minguet (36.86% of the votes) from the outgoing NFP deputy, the socialist Stéphane Delautrette (36.83%).
Here, the left doubled its score compared to the 2024 European elections. But the far right did the same, also shattering its record for the 2022 legislative elections by winning 15,295 additional votes where Stéphane Delautrette won none. “that” 7.139.
The spectacular increase in participation (73.89%) therefore benefited everyone… including the centrist candidate Marie-Eve Tayot (24%), dubbed by the right and local Macronists, and who seemed determined last night , to maintain itself, too, in the second round.
84 votes ahead for the left in the 3rd
As for the 3rd constituency, Manon Meunier comes out on top, but only just: the outgoing NFP/LFI MP is only 84 votes ahead of her far-right rival, RN candidate Albin Freychet. In two years, the latter has won 11,000 votes, while the outgoing MP, who is also making progress, has garnered “only” 6,415 additional votes. And the probable continuation of Gilles Toulza in the name of the Republican alternative could confuse voters a little more…
A political and moral risk
Because one of the keys to the second round is obviously in this center-right alliance, whereas overall, the left came out on top in the department with 36.3% of the vote against 34.97% for the RN.
By repeating this Sunday evening, through the voice of Guillaume Guérin, the president of the Republicans in Haute-Vienne, that its candidates would not withdraw, the local right is taking a political risk, that of seeing its party sink into electoral results. problematic.
But she is also and above all taking a moral risk, by depriving the RN’s best-placed adversaries of this famous “republican barrier” that she had nevertheless so widely called for when it came, in the past, to ensuring the election of Jacques Chirac or, more recently, that of Emmanuel Macron.
Florence Clavaud-Parant
