Even if many manufacturers and many countries want a review of the CAFE 2025 objectives, considered unattainable, it is not certain that Europe will comply with this request. Thus, the average emissions of each manufacturer's range will have to (or should) increase from 95 g/km to 81 g/km, under penalty of a fine of €95 per excess gram, and per car!
But faced with this imperative, whether it remains at 95 grams, or whether it increases to 81 grams for that matter, which manufacturers present in France are already respecting the objective, or not?
Here is a summary table of the average emissions of their range, by brand sold in France, and on French sales. This may be a little different for all European sales, but the ratios and differences between manufacturers should not be significantly different.
If we take the objective of 81 g/km, 23 manufacturers are on target. No problem of course, for the 12 brands that are 100% electric: BYD, Cadillac, Fisker, Geely, Hongqi, Leapmotor, Polestar, Seres, Smart, Tesla, Vinfast and XPeng. Among the “non-100% electric” manufacturers, MG is doing the best, with 35 g/km on average. But the introduction into their range of non-plug-in hybrid models, like the MG 3, increased the average by 22 grams…
Land Rover, with an almost exclusively plug-in hybrid range, achieves an excellent score of 38 g. Volvo is doing well too, with a range made up of 46% electric and 20% PHEV. Cupra, Fiat, Jaguar and Porsche are less than 60 g, some helped by electric sales (Fiat), others by those of plug-in hybrids (Porsche). Luckily for them, Mercedes and BMW are also in the top 81 grams, with 73 and 75 grams, but they are the last. Then, 6 brands are still well placed if the CAFE standard remains at 95 grams: DE, Lexus, Opel, Audi, Mini and Peugeot.
French brands in the spotlight or almost, except Citroën, Dacia and Alpine
But where are the French brands in all this? The best is DS, with 85 g on average for the range. Then comes Peugeot with 95 grams, Renault with 96 g and Citroën with a mediocre 109 grams. The chevron brand is suffering from poor sales of its plug-in hybrid models, but above all it was slow to offer electric models, and the ë:C4 was not selling well. The arrival of the ë:C3 should improve results.
Finally, Dacia, with 118 g on average, is off to a bad start, whatever the average used. And above all, it went from 101 g in 2023 to 118 grams. This is due to the sudden drop in sales of the Spring, which ceased to benefit from the ecological bonus in January 2024.
Japanese manufacturers, for their part, are quite close to 95 g, while sometimes exceeding them. They sell a lot of hybrids, but few 100% electric, which explains why. Lexus passes if the 95 grams are maintained, with 90 g, but Toyota and its 101 will have to make further efforts. Honda, Mazda Suzuki and Nissan too.
Volkswagen, with 111 grams, is also far from the objectives, while its 100% electric sales are slipping.
We then move into the clan of very bad students, with Seat, Alpine, Ferrari, Bentley or even Rolls-Royce, Aston Martin and Lamborghini, who will have difficulty achieving the objectives anyway, and who will have to join forces with others. other manufacturers to avoid heavy fines (yes, it's possible, manufacturers have the right to group together in a “pool”).
Let us remember once again that we are analyzing Franco-French results and that the European figures may be a little different. And probably worse on average because the proportion of EV sales in France (17%) is higher than the European average (14.8%).
Sources : Autoactu.com et NGC-Data
