Lhe Polish Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, wrote on November 2 on “the era of geopolitical subcontracting [était] finished »and this, a few days before the outcome of the American presidential election. For a leader whose public opinion is often presented as more Americanophile than the Americans themselves, this formula is striking and seems to outline the surge of lucidity demonstrated by the leaders of Central and Eastern Europe in recent months: withdrawal and American isolationism are an underlying trend, despite the Biden administration's last stand, which has just authorized Ukraine to target military objectives in the Russian Federation with American long-range weapons.
These countries, between the Baltic Sea and the Black Sea, whose security against Russia is essentially ensured by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the United States, see the election of Donald Trump as a threat. for the Atlantic Alliance, and therefore for their security. How could they be calm in the face of an unpredictable president and revanchist candidate, who has declared, on several occasions, that he wants to unravel NATO and, above all, resolve the Ukrainian war? “in twenty-four hours” ?
Will Poland accept a capitulation by Ukraine while it chairs the Council of the European Union (EU)? These so-called countries « east facade » of Europe, who are on the front line against Russia, will they accept for a long time that NATO's security guarantee is suspended on the regulation or not of Elon Musk's platforms by the EU?
Meeting sovereignty challenges
To mark Polish leadership in supporting Ukraine, the country's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Radoslaw Sikorski, received his French, German, Italian and Ukrainian counterparts in Warsaw on Tuesday, November 19. While Poland is seen as a rising power in Europe since Donald Tusk's return to power, it is preparing to take over the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU on 1is January 2025 in a context where a large number of Europeans are calling for a start.
Building a “backup” European security architecture, added to or backed by that of NATO, seems to be a priority today for a large number of European leaders, aware that Russian imperialism will not stop in Ukraine and represents an existential threat to the EU. Create the“Power Europe” seems to have once again become a priority for many European countries.
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