A “ relative victory of the demonization of the RN ». Here is how Bernard Sananès, president of the Elabe institute, analyzes the key result of our study carried out Tuesday and Wednesday, after the shock of the dissolution: only one in two French people are worried about the arrival of Jordan Bardella at Matignon.
Those who tremble the most? The voters of Valérie Hayer, head of the Renaissance list in the European elections (93%) and Manon Aubry, head of the list of La France insoumise (89%), but also those over 65 (60%). A concern that is very present among residents of the Paris metropolitan area (57%) but much less in rural areas (40%).
Another striking figure: faced with the possibility of the RN coming to power, 20% of those questioned said they “ indifferent ». “ These people are perhaps not in favor of the RN but say to themselves that it is not so serious “, continues Bernard Sananès.
We also asked the French about their wishes for victory in the legislative elections. The RN comes first (32%), but the left alliance is not that far (26%). “ We see a potential for mobilization with a dynamic comparable to that of the 2022 legislative elections. “, continues Bernard Sananès. As for dissolution, nearly (58%) 6 out of 10 French people see it as a good decision. Starting with Jordan Bardella’s voters. Those of Valérie Hayer also approve. “ Proof that the clarification argument put forward by the president is an audible argument for his electorate “, concludes Bernard Sananès.
Elabe survey for La Tribune Dimanche carried out on June 11 and 12, 2024 among a representative sample of 1,502 people, aged 18 and over residing in Metropolitan France. Field carried out mainly before Emmanuel Macron’s press conference on June 12, using the quota method.
