Odds and predictions: Spurs vs. Grizzlies, our winning bets for January 17, 2025

The Memphis Grizzlies look to earn their second win in three days against the San Antonio Spurs in a crucial Southwest Division matchup scheduled for Friday night. Memphis dominated San Antonio 129-115 on Wednesday. The Grizzlies (26-15), who have won three of their last five games, are 11-10 on the road this season. The Spurs (19-20), meanwhile, have lost four of their last five games and are 12-9 on their floor in 2024-25. Ja Morant (foot) is doubtful for Memphis, while Jeremy Sochan (back) is out for San Antonio.

Kickoff is scheduled at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio at 9:30 p.m. Eastern. San Antonio leads the historic regular season series 75-40, but Memphis has won 14 of their last 15 meetings. The Grizzlies are favored by 2.5 points according to the latest odds from SportsLine, while the point total is set at 239.5. Memphis is listed at -135 on the betting line (risk $135 to win $100), while San Antonio is at +113. Before making your choices regarding Spurs vs. Grizzlies, you’ll want to check out the NBA predictions provided by SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated more than $10,000 in profits for $100 bettors on its top picks over the past six seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2024-25 NBA season with an impressive 135-97 momentum on all of its top NBA picks, generating over $3,000 in profits. Those who follow the model on betting platforms have been able to enjoy considerable returns.

The model has now focused her attention on the Grizzlies vs. Grizzlies game. Spurs and has locked in his NBA picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to check out his recommendations. Here are some NBA betting lines for the Spurs vs. Grizzlies game:

• Grizzlies vs. Spread Spurs: Memphis -2.5
• Over/under Grizzlies vs. Spurs : 239.5 points
• Moneyline Grizzlies vs. Spurs : Memphis -135, San Antonio +113
• MEM: The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+15.90 units)
• SA: The Spurs have hit the moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+23.80 units)
• Grizzlies vs. Spurs picks: See the picks at SportsLine
• Grizzlies vs. Spurs streaming : FuboTV (essai gratuit)

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Power forward Jaren Jackson Jr. is coming off a 19-point, six-rebound performance in Wednesday’s win over the Spurs. He scored 33 points and grabbed eight rebounds in a 127-125 win at Minnesota on Saturday. He also had a double-double with 35 points and 13 rebounds in a 119-104 victory over the Dallas Mavericks on January 6. In 39 starts, he averaged 22.7 points, 6.4 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.7 blocks and 1.5 steals in 29.4 minutes.

Point guard Morant compiled a double-double with 21 points and 12 assists in Wednesday’s win over San Antonio. He previously recorded 29 points, four assists, four steals and three rebounds in a 120-118 loss at Houston on January 13. In 24 games, all as a starter, he averaged 21.4 points, 7.5 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 28.4 minutes. Morant makes 45% of his shots and 82.1% of his free throws.

Why the Spurs can cover

Pivot Victor Wembanyama, first choice in the 2023 NBA draft, was dominant. In 34 games, all as a starter, he averaged 24.7 points, 10.7 rebounds, four blocks, 3.7 assists and 1.1 steals in 33.3 minutes. He has recorded double-doubles in five of his last six games. In a 113-110 win at Denver on January 3, he scored 35 points and grabbed 18 rebounds, while adding four assists and two blocks.

Small forward Harrison Barnes is one of seven Spurs averaging double-digit points. In 39 games, all as a starter, he averaged 11.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists in 28 minutes. Barnes makes 48.5% of his shots, including 41.1% from behind the arc, and 80.4% of his free throws. He has reached double figures in his last five games, including a 22-point, three-assist performance in a 122-111 overtime loss to the Nuggets on January 4.

How to make your picks for Spurs vs. Grizzlies

The model simulated the Spurs vs. Grizzlies game 10,000 times and the results are now available. The model is leaning toward a lower total, projecting 229 combined points. He also claims that one side of the gap reaches well over 50% of simulations. You can only check out NBA picks on SportsLine.

So who will win between Grizzlies and Spurs, and which side of the spread reaches well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Spread. Spurs should be favored, all thanks to the model who put up an impressive 135-97 performance on his top NBA picks.