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how will prices change in 2025?

In 2024, the French saw energy prices increase considerably. For a 6 kVA meter and a consumption of 2,400 kWh per year, the annual bill for the Regulated Electricity Sales Tariff (TRVE) reached 756 euros in August 2024 compared to 696 euros a year earlier, according to the Commission of energy regulation (CRE). Concerning gas, for a consumption of 14,000 kWh per year, the bill increased from 1,408 euros in September 2023 to 1,728 euros in September 2024. What will it be in 2025? Moneyvox provides some answers.

Electricity: bills should drop for the majority of French people

Two elements integrated into the calculation of the price of electricity will increase next year. On the one hand, the excise on electricity, the TICFE. This will return next February to its pre-energy crisis amount, i.e. 32 euros per MWh compared to 21 euros today. A person consuming 8,500 kWh per year pays 178.50 euros annually in excise duty on electricity. In 2025, she would have to pay 272 euros, warns the specialized media.

On the other hand, the Tariff for the use of public electricity networks (TURPE) should also increase. The CRE recommends an increase “of 10% in 2025, followed by three years of increase in inflation”. Usually applied in August, the TURPE readjustment should take place in February and cause an increase in bills of 2 to 3%.

But the drop in wholesale electricity prices will more than offset these increases. Thus, according to estimates, bills should fall by around 14% for consumers at the regulated rate or who have subscribed to an indexed market offer, i.e. more than half of individuals.

The price of gas will increase again from January

For those who have a gas subscription, the bill will however increase inexorably in 2025. The average benchmark price per kWh will increase at the start of 2025 to 0.146 euros for a “hot water and cooking” household, indicates MoneyVox. This is the highest level reached since the creation of this index. This is explained by the increase in gas prices on wholesale markets. It's difficult to know what the trend will be for the rest of the year. Furthermore, an increase in gas taxes was mentioned during discussions on the 2025 budget.

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