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Can Kamala Harris still win? – Liberation

2024 US electionsdossier

The clouds are gathering for Kamala Harris as Donald Trump has won at least 4 of the 7 crucial swing states to reach the White House.

While all polling stations have closed, uncertainty still hangs over the outcome of the US presidential election. No clear winner emerges in the duel between former President Donald Trump and Vice-President Kamala Harris, even if the Republican seems reinforced by provisional counts in several decisive states. At 6:10 a.m. (French time), the Associated Press agency, which is the reference, attributed 230 electoral votes to Republican candidate Donald Trump, against 209 for Democrat Kamala Harris. A majority of 270 is needed to win the electoral college, and therefore the White House, in this one-round indirect universal suffrage election.

A first strong signal for the Republican camp: Donald Trump won North Carolina, the first swing state to fall into the Republican's hands, and which the Democrats had hoped to be able to capture this year. The ex-president, who crisscrossed the “Tar Heel State” throughout the campaign, had already won in this rural southern state in 2016 and 2020. The last time a Democrat won , it was in 2008. Barack Obama then benefited from an unprecedented mobilization of the African-American vote, which Kamala Harris may have lacked this year.

Blue Wall

For Democrats, the only possible route to the White House – the “clearest path”, according to Kamala Harris' campaign manager – passes through the “Blue Wall”, namely Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, three of the seven swing states, located in the northeast of the country and the Great Lakes region. “It’s an extremely close race”recognized Jen O'Malley Dillon, in a message sent to her teams. Among the key states in this election, Nevada, Georgia and Arizona also remain to be awarded. Donald Trump is in the lead in the last two, with more than 80% of the votes counted.

“We know that this race will not become clearer until early in the morning” on Wednesday, said Kamala Harris' campaign manager. In 2020, Joe Biden won over Donald Trump by winning in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, but also in Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. The Republican, on the other hand, won in the famous “blue wall” in 2016, when he beat Democrat Hillary Clinton.

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