SSaturday December 7, France may no longer have a government, but it will have Donald Trump. By choosing to honor Notre-Dame for his first trip abroad since his victory on November 5, the American president-elect will perhaps fulfill, in his own way, the wishes of Emmanuel Macron, who hoped that the reconstruction successful cathedral causes “a shock of hope”.
The hope, in this case, would be that of a fruitful meeting between Mr. Trump and the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, if he also chooses to come to Paris on Saturday. Because in terms of shock of hope, for the moment, it is rather the shock of chaos that the prospect of Donald Trump's return to the Oval Office produces. The traditional Washingtonian transition from one administration to another has transformed into an explosive period where, between November 5 and January 20, the date of the inauguration of the future president, the disorganization of the world accelerates dizzyingly. The election of Donald Trump and the uncertainty he maintains around his diplomatic intentions, like a very personal practice of strategic ambiguity, act as a catalyst for the most serious crises of the moment.
By trumpeting that he did not want to be distracted, once in the White House, by wars that would prevent him from focusing on his real issues – illegal immigration and China – Donald Trump put pressure on the belligerents . In Ukraine and the Middle East, everyone is trying to anticipate the radical options that Washington could favor to try to put an end to their conflicts.
NATO protection
In the Ukrainian theater, Moscow is pushing its advantage, bombing harder and using nuclear intimidation at all costs. In Europe, the Kremlin is intensifying hybrid warfare, increasing acts of sabotage and giving voice to its hardest supporters. Thus, the Russian expert in strategic thinking Sergei Karaganov explains to Figaro that since deterrence no longer works, it must be replaced “by fear” : « Ouihe insists, it is necessary to lead to escalation. I encourage Russia to move forward on the ladder of escalation toward deterrence and intimidation. We must go further to first of all sober up our European neighbors who have lost their minds. Like a hundred years ago, they are pushing the world towards a world war. »
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