For pigmeat, it will be 25,000 tonnes (0.1% of EU production), for poultry 180,000 tonnes (1.4%), sugar 190,000 tonnes (1.2%).
Brussels assures that the agreement represents opportunities for European products currently hampered in Latin America: wine (currently taxed up to 27%) or cheeses, which can benefit from “the rise of a middle class” .
The Spanish government, which supports the agreement, thus highlights wine or olive oil. The agricultural unions of this country are still alarmed, particularly for livestock farming.
Mercosur: the big market and small farms
Exposed sectors
Even if the volumes concerned are low compared to European production, they can shake up sectors.
For Patrick Bénézit, vice-president of the beef industry (Interbev), the Mercosur countries already supply the bulk of sirloin imports, “noble” cuts. The production of sirloins in Europe is “400,000 tonnes from meat breeds, so seeing 99,000 tonnes come in, that has an impact”.
Chicken producers fear that Brazilians will concentrate on the most profitable cuts, the fillets.
For the sugar sector, already shaken up by the facilities granted to Ukraine, the 190,000 tonnes represent only 1.2% of European production, but half of French exports to other EU countries, which represent the vast majority of the country’s total exports.
This “will only destabilize this market”, particularly for France, explains Alain Carré, farmer and president of the inter-profession (AIBS)
The ethanol, honey, pork… sectors are also at risk, underlines Stefan Ambec, economist at the Inrae research institute, who mentions in particular the risk of a drop in prices paid to European farmers. “Production costs differ and the problem is that health and environmental standards are not the same.”
Mercosur: “Without binding mirror clauses, we will not be able to be in favor of the agreement”, warns David Clarinval
What standards?
The Commission assures: “All Mercosur products must comply with strict EU food safety standards.”
The Ceta free trade agreement with Canada, for example, has not fulfilled its meat export quotas for six years due to lack of production up to standards, argues a European official.
The “conditions of production” in Mercosur will not necessarily be the same as in Europe, Brussels admits.
Opponents of the agreement are calling for “mirror clauses”: that the rules imposed on European farmers in social, environmental or animal welfare matters also apply to Mercosur producers in order to avoid distortions of competition.
It is “sold as a new generation agreement taking into account environmental and climatic aspects but the commitments are weak: there is no conditionality”, notes Mr. Ambec.
“The EU-Mercosur agreement will not be signed at the G20”
What controls?
How can we ensure that health standards will be respected?
“In theory, meat treated for example with antibiotics and growth hormones cannot enter, but in practice traceability is imperfect,” explains Mr. Ambec. “There are slaughterhouse audits organized with the Commission, but we do not easily track livestock before this stage. Tracing from birth to slaughter, in Mercosur, only exists in Uruguay.”
And in fact, an EU audit has just revealed flaws in the controls of beef in Brazil, incapable of guaranteeing the absence of the hormone estradiol, banned in Europe. Until the procedures are reviewed, Brazil has suspended these exports.
“Emergency brake”
The agreement includes “a safeguard clause”, a sort of “emergency brake” in the event of a sudden increase in imports or perverse effects on the market, underlines Brussels.
But this clause “does not define” precise conditions, notes Mr. Ambec: enough to complicate its triggering (the reestablishment of customs duties) without retaliatory measures.