DECRYPTION – If no absolute majority emerges on the evening of the second round of elections, on July 7, the country could plunge into a major political crisis.
This is a scenario that no one really wants to talk about as its consequences are still unknown. What would happen if no absolute majority emerged at the polls on the evening of July 7? “ It would be a real mess… The political sequence will not be resolved within the year “, blows a socialist framework. The first polls do not completely rule out the possibility of a National Assembly “ungovernable” where no political force would manage to win the 289 seats out of 577 essential to hold an absolute majority.
The Prime Minister must, in practice, come from the majority camp to allow his government to pass its laws to the National Assembly. Without this, he is exposed to the permanent threat of the motion of censure which, if adopted by the oppositions, leads to his resignation. “ The new government could therefore fall after a week “, predicts Benjamin Morel, lecturer in law…
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