Donald Trump is assured of victory in the American presidential election this Wednesday, November 6, 2024, even if the results of the previous day’s vote are not yet final. Kamala Harris no longer has any chance of catching him.
10:27 – Trump makes progress in rural areas, Harris does less well in big cities
The results of the American presidential election are less close than expected. A gap due to the fact that Donald Trump obtained better scores than those estimated in rural areas, particularly in swing states, while Kamala Harris received less support than expected in urban areas, according to the analysis from NBC News which is based on the first analyzes of the presidential votes.
10:08 – Estimates credit Donald Trump with 312 electoral votes
With 267 electors, Donald Trump is almost certain to obtain the 270 votes necessary to win the election thanks to Alaska and its electors. But the Republican candidate could also win the electors of the four swing states which have not yet announced the results since he is a clear favorite there. If he wins them all he will be able to obtain up to 312 electors.
Another state still has to allocate its electoral votes: Maine. This state distributes its electors according to the results of each candidate and Donald Trump has already won an elector like Kamala Harris there. But the last two votes in Maine should go to Kamala Harris according to the estimates and the progress of the count.
09:57 – Kamala Harris has not yet conceded defeat
Kamala Harris has not yet conceded defeat. The Democratic candidate left her headquarters around midnight, around 6 a.m. in France, without speaking. His campaign team then indicated that the results would not be known for several hours. Since then, the situation has changed and Donald Trump’s victory is almost established. Kamala Harris is expected to speak later today, perhaps she will wait for Donald Trump’s official victory with 270 electoral votes.
09:46 – Donald Trump does not need the latest swing states to officially win
Donald Trump is only three voters short of winning the American presidential election and he is already guaranteed to obtain these votes thanks to Alaska, which is a traditionally Republican state. The results are not yet known in this state which is the most western of the country, they should be known in the coming hours.
09:26 – An increase in the Hispanic vote in favor of Donald Trump
According to polls relayed by Reuters, Donald Trump won 45% of the votes of Hispanic voters nationally, this is less than Kamala Harris who concentrated 53% of this electorate, but it is much more than what was the Republican candidate in 2020: he gained 13% among this electorate. However, Donald Trump’s campaign, particularly the last few weeks, were marked by racist outings aimed at this population and the island of Puerto Rico.
09:19 – The results of the presidential election are not yet final, but an unstoppable lead
Donald Trump is still missing three electors for his victory to be complete and a handful of states, including four swing states, have not returned their results. But the trends are clear and unmistakable: it is enough for the candidate to win a state to win, but he is able to win the election in all the remaining states according to the partial results in each territory and after the counting of more by three-quarters of the votes.
09:13 – Donald Trump’s victory recognized by Emmanuel Macron
Donald Trump has not officially won, but his victory is no longer in doubt. So much so that Emmanuel Macron congratulated the republican candidate on his return to the White House. “Congratulations President Donald Trump”, wrote Emmanuel Macron on the social network X adding: “Ready to work together as we have been able to do for four years”.
09:01 – Did Donald Trump really win the popular vote?
“We won the popular vote,” assured Donald Trump during his speech. It is too early to say since not all the votes have been counted, but according to the latest estimates the vote gap between Trump and Harris could climb to 5 million voters, in favor of the Republican candidate. This is a surprise given the estimates of the various media during the campaign and an election described as “the closest in history” by some of them.
08:55 – Kamala Harris wins Minnesota
Kamala Harris’ victory is confirmed in Minnesota, which allows the Democratic candidate to win 10 additional seats. However, she is only 224 seats against 267 for Donald Trump, knowing that she is not the favorite in the remaining swing states.
08:46 – “We have 315 electors” counts Donald Trump in advance
Donald Trump says he won 315 voters, far more than the 270 needed to win the election. But at the time when Donald Trump makes his declarations, he only has 267 electors after his victory in Pennsylvania. However, he could obtain more if the trends observed in the counting of votes in the remaining states, notably four swing states. If he wins these four states, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada, Donald Trump could have 309 electors.
08:35 – Donald Trump announces his victory at Mar-a-Lago
A few minutes after the announcement of his victory in Pennsylvania, Donald Trump took the stage at the Mar-a-Lago convention in Florida to formalize his victory in front of his supporters. “Today we are making history (…). I thank the voters for electing me as the 47th president of the United States,” he declared, boasting of having won several key states, some of which have not yet given their final result like Michigan or Wisconsin, despite Donald Trump’s lead. The Republican candidate also assured that he had won the popular vote, information not yet confirmed but which if it proves true would mark a first for the man who is in his third presidential campaign.
08:13 – And 3 swing states! Donald Trump wins in Pennsylvania
Donald Trump’s victory is confirmed in Pennsylvania by CNN, other media such as the New York Times and AP are expected to follow. This victory was announced for almost an hour in view of the Republican candidate’s lead on 95% of the votes counted, it seems too important to be caught up by Kamala Harris with the Democratic vote that she expected in the big cities.
08:01 – Fox News announces that Donald Trump is the 47th president of the United States
Donald Trump is on track to win the presidential election, but nothing is being done until the final results are announced in all states, particularly swing states. However, the conservative American channel Fox News, which supported Donald Trump during the campaign, announced that the Republican candidate was the 47th president of the United States without waiting for the results to be made official and the 270 electoral votes necessary for the election to be obtained. ‘take away.
07:56 – Harris wins four new voters, Trump takes one more
Kamala Harris won New Hampshire and its four electoral votes, bringing her score to 214 votes, while Donald Trump won the fifth and final electoral vote of Nebraska, one of only two states to distribute its electoral votes. In this state, Donald Trump still won with four districts out of five.
07:44 – Several signs favoring a Trump victory in Pennsylvania
The count is progressing in Pennsylvania with nearly 95% of the votes counted and Donald Trump is in the lead with 51% of the votes cast against 48% for Kamala Harris. The missing votes are those from big cities like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, those on which the Democratic camp was counting to win. However, the gap seems difficult to make up for. Especially since other signs are favorable to Donald Trump: his arrival in the lead in the county of Northampton and that of Erie, which is usually colored the color of the winner in the state of Pennsylvania.
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The American electoral system is complex. It is based on an indirect system where citizens do not elect their president directly, but electors who then meet to choose the head of state. This “electoral college” has 538 members, corresponding to the total number of senators and representatives in Congress, as well as three electors for the District of Columbia. Each state has a certain number of electors, allocated according to the size of its population.
In presidential elections, which take place every four years, citizens vote at the beginning of November. The candidate who wins the majority of votes in a state, according to the “winner-takes-all” rule, obtains all the electors of that state, with the exception of Maine and Nebraska, which distribute their voters proportionally. The candidate having received at least 270 voters wins the presidential election.
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