“This is absolute shit. » This Tuesday morning, 24 hours before a motion of censure for Michel Barnier and his government, Florent Boudié, the Renaissance deputy for Gironde and president of the law committee, does not hide his dismay after the triggering on Monday, by the Prime Minister, of article 49-3 of the Constitution to adopt the Social Security finance bill. “Michel Barnier suffered humiliation,” he continues. He institutionalized the RN like never before, he gave in to the demands of Marine Le Pen and she will censor him. There is no reason why the government should not fall. This strategy is incomprehensible. »
And it is hardly more tender with this prospect of seeing the voices of the RN and the New Popular Front mingle and add up, tomorrow Wednesday, December 3, during the vote on the motion of censure tabled by the left. “While many French people made the courageous, lucid, sometimes difficult choice of the Republican front in July,” he recalls, “the RN and the NFP are joining together to form an anti-stability front, an anti-institutions front at risk. to plunge our country into an unprecedented regime crisis. »
” Mess “
However, if the central bloc has already opened the trial for irresponsibility of this “alliance of opposites” between the NFP and the RN, it too risks losing its feathers. “There was an error of analysis,” we comment within this heterogeneous alliance. The deputies did not see that censoring the government amounted to putting an end to disorder. In public opinion and among our adversaries, the troublemakers are us. We will all pay the price, starting with Emmanuel Macron. »
“There is no reason why the government should not fall. This strategy is incomprehensible”
In fact, from the NFP to the RN, the person responsible for the looming political crisis is already clear: it is the head of state. Nicolas Thierry, the environmentalist deputy for Bordeaux, said nothing else in the columns of “Sud Ouest” this Tuesday: “We must not forget that the original problem is the dissolution of Emmanuel Macron. It was he who threw the country into this crisis. » On the side of La France insoumise, the culprit is also at the Élysée, as Jean-Luc Mélenchon wrote on Monday on his social networks: “All the maneuvers to save the Barnier government have failed. He's going to fall. And Macron, solely responsible for the financial and political crisis, must go to give voice to the votes of the French. »
However, by precipitating the very probable fall of Michel Barnier, the oppositions are also playing with fire. In fact, they will contribute to depriving France, at least within the legal deadlines, of a Social Security budget and a global finance bill for 2025.
Resignation?
However, it is the head of state who should find himself, once again, at the heart of the turmoil. Indeed, if the Prime Minister is overthrown on Wednesday, he will have no other choice but to tender his resignation and that of his government. Emmanuel Macron will once again have to find and appoint a Prime Minister. However, we cannot say that his choice to install Michel Barnier at Matignon, after two and a half months of procrastination, paid off. Among the Macronists, we were still wondering this Tuesday about the response that Emmanuel Macron could provide: “Either, he procrastinates like this summer, or he decides to act quickly so that we have a Prime Minister on the job as soon as possible. next week. »
Regardless, even with a quick nomination, it should be too late to pass a budget before December 31. In this context, the priority of successor Michel Barnier will be to have two special laws passed without delay: the first on the Social Security finance bill, the second, on the overall finance bill. “These will only be transitional measures,” sighs a Macronist deputy. But they will be essential for collecting revenue, for civil servants to be paid, for vital cards to work… This is the only subject on which there is consensus today. » Then, it will be up to the new Prime Minister to rethink the budgetary discussion, in an Assembly that is still fragmented and without a majority.
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