track results in swing states

During their respective campaigns, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump focused their efforts on seven states, where voters alternately vote for Democrats or Republicans (hence the name swing states, Pivotal States): Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada.

Indeed, the American vote is an election by indirect universal suffrage during which citizens designate electors who make up the electoral college and vote on their behalf. In all, 538 electors, spread across the 50 states, nominate the president. In most states (except Maine and Nevada), the candidate who comes first wins all of their electors. This system of winner-takes-all place them swing states at the heart of all electoral strategies.

For each of these states, crucial for this election, the results are published by the American agency Associated Press, making it possible to follow the evolution of the election live.

Pennsylvania

Number of electors : 19

Pennsylvanians are among the Americans who have suffered the most from inflation, so much so that one in eight residents is food insecure. This traditionally Democratic state, where Donald Trump created a surprise in 2016, was won by Joe Biden in 2020, undoubtedly partly for his link with the working-class city of Scranton, where he grew up.

Georgia

Number of electors : 16

Atlanta and its suburbs represent half of the population of the “Peanut State”; suffice to say that the political weight of the city is significant, especially since the suburbs have ceased to be Republican and are instead populated by African-Americans – 30% of the state’s population – and graduates, mainly Democrats . In 2020, Biden won this key state by a narrow margin, as President Trump pressured the governor for him ” find “ the 11,800 votes needed to reverse the trend.

North Carolina

Number of electors : 16

In this state, the last four elections were decided by less than four percentage points. In 2020, Donald Trump won with only 1.3 points (74,483 votes).

For the 2024 election, polls predicted at the start of the year a large victory for Mr. Trump in this state, before showing a reversal in favor of Kamala Harris from mid-August, according to the think tank Cook Political Report . However, the task will be difficult for the vice-president, in a state which has only placed the Democratic candidate in the lead twice in the last fifty years: Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008.

Michigan

Number of electors: 15

Like Wisconsin, Michigan placed the winner of the last two presidential elections in the lead. Demographically, the Great Lakes State is the one with the largest proportion of Arab-Americans in the country – a demographic group whose weight could be lacking for the Democrats, without deferring to the Republicans, who are very close to the government’s positions Israeli government of Benyamin Netanyahu. In Michigan’s Democratic primaries, more than 100,000 voters chose the option “ not committed » on their ballot, after a campaign by activists calling for an end to military aid to Israel.

Arizona

Number of electors: 11

In 2020, Joe Biden won the Grand Canyon State by a very narrow margin of 0.3 points, where the previous elections had been favorable to the Republicans. The vote could notably be decided on the theme of abortion, while the Republicans of Arizona recently failed to reinstate an 1864 law which completely prohibited it.

Wisconsin

Number of electors : 10

The badger state – the emblematic animal of Wisconsin – leaned clearly in favor of the victorious candidate, Republican Donald Trump in 2016 and Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, with a margin of around 20,000 votes each time. A sign of its strategic importance, the Republican convention took place there in July and Kamala Harris organized her first campaign meeting there.

Nevada

Number of electors : 6

Nevadans certainly voted for Democrats in the last election, by a narrow margin, but there is no indication that this lead will be solid for 2024 – especially since the state has the third highest unemployment rate in the States – United, with 5.2%. Both candidates also sought to appeal to the Latino electorate, which represents around 20% of the state’s population.