Australian Open 2025 – final – 100 matches, 93 victories: sinner, the frightening board

“I believe that since I beat him in Shanghai, he may have had six games.” Beaten in the semi-finals in Melbourne by Jannik Sinner, Ben Shelton can measure the Italian moult. When he eliminated him in Shanghai in the round of 16 in October 2023, Sinner was 4th in the world. He had just joined the top 5 for the first time thanks to his title in Beijing. But the world was still dominated by Novak Djokovic and the successor expected of the Serbian was rather called Carlos Alcaraz. Not Jannik Sinner.

But it is from that fall that the protégé of Darren Cahill began to change his dimension. The Posthanghai has scored a starting point. He was going to win 13 of his last 14 meetings of the year 2023, losing in the Masters final against a still untouchable Djokovic. But with his title in Vienna, this final at ATP Final and his festival in the Davis Cup final, he warned everyone, with seven victories against the members of the Top 10, including two against Djokovic (Masters and Davis Cup) And two against Medvedev, then world number 3. The end of 2023 already announced 2024.

No double in China to Sinner, beaten by Shelton in the 3rd round

Video credit: Eurosport

Last season was that of his advent at the top and in power. But beyond its two Grand Slam titles, Australia and the United States, it is also the constancy of the Transalpine that has impressed over the months. Never or almost in void, even if he has not won the slightest tournament on clay and handed out at the beginning of the summer with a defeat in the quarterfinals in Wimbledon, his absence at the Olympic Games and Its early release in Montreal.

27-6 against the top 10

But after that, Jannik Sinner found a way to establish his authority even more strongly on the circuit. He is on an impressive series since he has won 36 of his last 37 matches with titles in Cincinnati (Masters 1000), at the US Open (Grand Chelem), Shanghai (Masters 1000) at Masters and finally at Open from Australia. His only failure during this period? The Beijing final against Carlos Alcaraz, 7-6 in the third set after having led 3-0 in the decisive tie-break. The Spaniard is also the only one to have really thwarted the designs of his young rival since October 2023, by inflicting three of his seven defeats to him.

In total, since the match against Ben Shelton mentioned above, from which we can date the change in Sinner, the latter has now played 100 games, until the final of this Sunday in Melbourne. In 15 months, he has lost only seven times. 93% victories over such a long period (including a remarkable 27-6 against the members of the Top 10, or 82% of victories), it is simply exceptional, almost worthy of the most striking hegemonies in the past on samples Comparable, those of McEnroe, Federer or Djokovic.

Sinner, three last points like a total grip

Video credit: Eurosport

Sinner since on his last 100 matches

. At the end of 2023: 13 victories, 1 defeat
. 2024: 73 victories, 6 defeats
. Early 2025: 7 victories, 0 defeat

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Sinner's seven defeats on his last 100 games

November 2023: Novak Djokovic (final, Masters)
Mars 2024: Carlos Alcaraz (Demi-Finale, Indian Wells
Avril 2024: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Demi-Finale, Monte-Carlo)
June 2024: Carlos Alcaraz (semi-final, Roland-Garros)
July 2024: Daniil Medvedev (quarter -final, Wimbledon)
August 2024: Andrey Rublev (quarter -finals, Montreal)
October 2024: Carlos Alcaraz (final, Beijing)

Who can stop it?

He also remarkably knew how to manage himself physically. He withdrew from certain tournaments at the slightest alert. In Bercy at the end of 2023 after his night marathon against McDonald. In Madrid before his quarter against Auger-Aliassime. His decision not to return to clay for the Olympic Games after the season on grass. Djokovic and Alcaraz, finalists in , mentally and physically paid for this meeting thereafter. In Flushing Meadows in particular, where Sinner had almost quietly won the bet.

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This sinner was too strong for Fritz: the highlights of the final

Video credit: Eurosport

At the beginning of 2025, he resumed directly to Melbourne, without a preparation tournament. He knows himself, manages himself and his confidence is such that he never needs to add more. By way of comparison, Carlos Alcaraz sometimes made curious choices in terms of calendar. Novak Djokovic, he played very little last year and not sure that it has always been beneficial in terms of rhythm. Before hurting himself in Melbourne this week, he had also decided to play much more this year. Sinner seems to have found the perfect timing. Intelligence and serenity on the court and outside.

In the short term, what could slow down his incredible step forward? He is so dedicated to his job and sure of his weapons that a phase of psychological break seems unlikely. His main rivals all have questions to raise. Zverev still displayed certain limits. Djokovic ages and his physique tickles him. Alcaraz is looking for a new breath. Sinner continues to move forward at a crazy speed. It is perhaps the Arbitral Tribunal of Sport that will arrest him, when judging the case that everyone knows. In the short term, we hardly see that to change the situation at the top of world tennis.

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Sinner, a strong and fragile carrot at the same time

Video credit: Eurosport

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