NBA player prop bets continue to be a profitable venture as we dive into today’s best options. Highlighting picks from LaMelo Ball, Cade Cunningham, RJ Barrett, and Chris Paul, we’ll provide a detailed analysis of why these overs offer great value based on team trends, player stats, and matchup dynamics.
LaMelo Ball has been a force as the pick-and-roll ball-handler, ranking second-best in the NBA with 11.1 points per game in such situations. The Hornets, as a team, excel in pick-and-roll scoring, averaging 22.1 points per game, which is the second-highest mark in the league. Against a Pistons defense that ranks sixth-worst in defending pick-and-roll ball-handlers (18.9 points per game allowed), Ball is set up to thrive.
The Pistons’ inability to contain dynamic point guards combined with Ball’s elite scoring off the dribble makes this over a strong play. Expect Ball to attack Detroit’s weak perimeter defense and capitalize on this favorable matchup.
Cade Cunningham Over 32.5 Points + Assists vs. Hornets (-115, DraftKings)
Cade Cunningham’s combination of scoring and playmaking makes his points + assists line highly attractive. Cunningham thrives on his aggressive playstyle, ranking third-highest in the NBA in drives per game (17.3) and fourth-best in scoring off drives (11.1 points per game) among active players.
The Hornets’ defense only enhances Cunningham’s chances to hit this over.
Charlotte has played at the slowest defensive speed in the league (3.87 mph average) over the last five games and ranks 21st in Defensive Rating during that span. With Cunningham operating at a blistering offensive speed (4.90 mph)—the fastest among Pistons players and 4th-highest among all NBA players logging 30+ minutes—he should exploit the Hornets’ sluggish defense to stuff the stat sheet.
RJ Barrett Over 27.5 Points + Assists vs. Timberwolves (+100, Caesars)
RJ Barrett has been on fire recently, averaging 23.2 points and 6.5 assists per game (29.7 combined). He has gone over the 27.5 points + assists mark in three straight games and even surpassed it with points alone in four of his 12 starts.
Tonight’s matchup is primed for another big performance from Barrett. With Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, Bruce Brown, Kelly Olynyk, Bruno Fernando, D.J. Carton and Ja’Kobe Walter out, Barrett leads the Raptors in both Usage Rate (31.27%) and Assist Rate (32.29%) in 288 minutes alongside a depleted lineup. His 31.27% usage rate ranks fifth among NBA starters who have played at least 10 games this season.
Although the Timberwolves ended last season with the NBA’s best Defensive Rating, they currently sit at 12th in Defensive Rating this year. Barrett’s prominent role and ability to create for himself and his teammates make him a great value to clear this number.
Chris Paul Over 8.5 Assists vs. Jazz (-113, FanDuel)
Chris Paul continues to be one of the league’s premier facilitators, accounting for 44.9% of his team’s assists when on the floor—the highest mark among NBA point guards. Paul logged 11 assists in the Spurs’ first game without Victor Wembanyama, showing his ability to elevate teammates when given the opportunity.
Against the Jazz, Paul is in another favorable spot. He put up nine and then 10 assists across two prior matchups this season, generating an impressive 21.0 potential assists per game. Utah’s defense struggles to contain transition opportunities, allowing a league-worst 31.4 points in transition and 22.3 points per game off turnovers in November. Paul’s playmaking will likely exploit these deficiencies, making this over a strong bet.
