Why hasn't Kamala given up yet? The (almost impossible) road that remains for her

The former president of the United States Donald Trump is one step away from returning to the White House: the American television networks awarded him the victory in Pennsylvania, effectively closing any avenue for Kamala Harris' success. The vice president should surpass him in all the states where the counting is still underway, but where the rival has an advantage that is difficult to overcome: every avenue, in fact, is closed.

The Republican candidate, according to data provided by Associated Press, he has already won in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia and he is ahead in Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin and Arizona. Some, like the conservative network Fox Newsalready begins to award him the victory. And the speaker of the House Mike Johnson also congratulated the “president-elect”. He himself declares victory: he would have done it anyway, but this time the count confirms his statements.

If Trump wins in these states – or in some of them –, his re-election would be certain: He is currently only 4 electoral votes away from returning to the White House. Furthermore, compared to the two previous elections, the former president is also ahead in the popular vote: at the moment he has received 67 million votes against the 62 million of his rival. Harris, on the other hand, must necessarily win in Wisconsin (Trump leads 51% to 48%), and in Michigan (where Trump is at 52% and Harris is at 46%).

Kamala Harris, however, is determined to resist: Jen O'Malley Dillon, campaign manager for the Democratic candidate, wrote in a message to staff that it will still take hours to have more reliable data on the states of the so-called «blue wall» (Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania), decisive for the fate of the vice president. “Let's get some sleep and get ready to close tomorrow on a high note,” Dillon wrote to the staff.

Harris has already left campaign headquarters for this reason Democrat for the presidential elections: «She will return tomorrow», announced the campaign spokesperson, Cedric Richmond to the supporters gathered at Howard University, the historically African-American university where Harris graduated and where she hoped to celebrate her election.

But what are the combinations of states that would allow Kamala Harris to get to the White House?

US election results, live

According to the most reliable counts, the two candidates started from a certain loot – 226 electoral votes for Harris, 219 for Trump – and both had 21 combinations each to exceed the threshold of 270 necessary to be elected.

But the situation, at the moment, has become decidedly more complicated for Harris.

Kamala Harris wins the elections if…: the states to conquer

The road it can lead Kamala Harris at the White House – by the admission of his own staff – there was probably only one: the one who passed from the Rust Belt, the industrial rust belt.

– Michigan (15 electors)
– Wisconsin (10)
– Pennsylvania (19).

They are the three states of the «Blue Wall», the blue wall Democrat who rarely voted Republican but in 2016 it gave victory to Trump by 77 thousand votes in total.

If Harris wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, she would be at 270 electors, compared to Trump's 268.

At the moment, however, Pennsylvania has escaped her and Wisconsin and Michigan remain: both seem to be turning clearly towards Donald Trump. At this point Harris only has to find another 19 electoral votes, but the counts are now desperate: not even by winning both in Arizona and Nevada (11 and 6 electoral votes) would she be able to reach the threshold of 270 electoral votes. And so the Democrats are looking for desperate combinations. But they can't be found

HOW TO FOLLOW THE ELECTION NIGHT ON /

November 6, 2024 (modified November 6, 2024 | 08:47)

© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED