Things look tougher for Democrats in the Senate. There they now have a wafer-thin majority of 51 out of 100 (including 4 “independents” who form a faction with the Democrats, such as Bernie Sanders). Of the 34 seats up for re-election, 23 are currently held by Democrats. On the Republican side, there are only 11 seats to be filled.
So the Democrats have more seats to lose. They will almost certainly lose one seat in West Virginia, two others (in Ohio and Montana) are particularly vulnerable. Conversely, at first glance they may have little hope of capturing a Republican seat, although surprises cannot be ruled out.
If the Republicans win one Senate seat and Trump becomes president, they will also have the majority in the Senate. Because then it is 50 against 50 and the vote of the vice president (in that case Republican JD Vance) is decisive. If they win two or three seats, they will certainly have the majority, even if Harris were elected.
Conversely, the Democrats may only lose one seat and they must win the battle for the White House to retain their majority.
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