Ex-Hurricane Kirk turned depression will shake Center-Val de Loire this week

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This week of October 7 to 13, 2024 in the Centre-Val de Loire, will be very agitated in our region with the arrival of ex-Hurricane Kirk (becoming a “simple” depression) between Wednesday and Thursday…

A mixed and unstable Monday

During the night from Sunday to Monday, after the evacuation of a first area of ​​showers from the East of the Center in the evening of Sunday, we will have a changing sky to very cloudy over our central regions (locally foggy). Over the course of the night, under a southwest to south flow, a new cloudy area bringing showers will arrive from the South-West of Centre-Val de Loire. It will gradually rise towards the North-East of our territory by Monday morning. We will then observe an often very cloudy sky over our regions with showers in places. The extreme northwest of the Center will remain on the edge.

On Monday morning, under a light southerly flow, we will find many clouds. They may still drop a few drops or showers in certain areas progressing towards the North-East. Minimum temperatures will be between +11°C and +15°C, from North to South of the Center. Between the very end of the morning and midday, a burst of sustained moderate rain and stormy showers will reach the South of Center-Val de Loirespeak Berry and the South of Touraine.

During the afternoon, this very cloudy and unstable area, bringing rain and sometimes stormy showers, will continue its progress towards the North. A large southern part of our Central region will then be affected by localized showers, rain and thunderstorms circulating randomly, from South to North. Instability will reach the North Center in the second part of the afternoon. Maximum temperatures will oscillate between +16°C and +21°C, from North to South of the Center. A weak to very moderate wind from South-East to South will blow. It will strengthen over time south of the Loire (gusts of 30 to 50 km/h, occasionally 60 km/h in the South of Berry). It will be lighter in the North (gusts of 10 to 30 km/h, occasionally > 30 km/h).

Between the end of the afternoon and the evening, an unstable area (stormy showers and rain) will circulate over the North of the Center before evacuating little by little from the North-East. Another unstable area present in the South/South-East of the Center will slide towards the East before leaving our central regions.

The South-East of Berry will also be located on the edge of a active rain-storm axis stretching from the Pyrenees to the North-East of the country passing the Massif-Central. Calmer weather (variable/changing sky) will return from the West / South-West of the Center as the evening progresses. The wind will blow weakly to moderately from South to South-West sectors (gusts of 15 to 50 km/h).

Changeable, windy and showers Tuesday!

During the night from Monday to Tuesday, under a south to southwest flow (gusts of 5 to 30 km/h, locally > 30 km/h), a lull will take shape in our central regions (excluding possible temporary rains in the East of Cher on the edge of the rain-storm axis stretching from the Pyrenees to the North-East). We will have a variable/changing sky over our regions.

On Tuesday morning, variable/changing skies will dominate the proceedings (rare localized showers arriving from the West over the hours). A south to southwest wind will blow (gusts of 5 to 20 km/h towards the east and 20 to 40 km/h towards the west of the center). Minimum temperatures will oscillate between +12°C and +15°C.

In the afternoon, under a sustained southwest wind (gusts of 30 to 50 km/h, locally > 50 km/h towards the West), we will observe a changing sky (clearings and clouds). Localized showers (occasionally stormy) will occur. Maximum temperatures will range from +17°C to +20°C.

In the evening, under a southwesterly flow, we will maintain this changeable and locally unstable sky (showers). As the hours go by, it will tend to get cloudier in the West of the Center. Further showers and rain will arrive from the West throughout the night from Tuesday to Wednesday.

Arrival of ex-Hurricane Kirk on Wednesday…

A active rain burst will circulate in the south of our central regions. Then, it will gradually shift towards the North of the Center throughout the day. A very active rain axis will persist for several hours in this part of our territory between the second part of the day and the following night. The accumulations will sometimes be significant in a few hours (several tens of millimeters of water possible). In the South, the weather will be mixed with a southerly wind strengthening significantly as the hours go by.

Minimum temperatures will range from +11°C to +14°C and maximums from +12°C to +22°C, from North to South of the Center.

In connection with the passage of ex-Hurricane Kirk (became a simple depression)the following night will promise to be very agitated with a possible gust of wind or probable storm (modalities to be specified: uncertainties still present to this day). It will be associated with sustained rains in the North Center in particular.

Trolling skies Thursday

After a very restless night, a pattern of showers will set in over our central regions. Under variable to changing skies, sometimes sustained showers will circulate over our territory. This trailing sky will be associated with a sustained westerly wind.

Minimum temperatures will range from +9°C to +12°C and maximums from +15°C to +17°C.

Changing and fresh Friday

Under more or less cloudy to variable skies (clearings and clouds), a few showers will still occur in places. It will be cooler!

Minimum temperatures will range from +5°C to +8°C and maximums from +11°C to +14°C.

Lull for our weekend?

A calm would set in for our weekend driven by a small and weak anticyclonic surge. We would have a variable sky, divided between clearings and clouds. A sharp chill will dominate the proceedings (less than 5°C in the morning, less than 15°C in the afternoon). Some uncertainties still remain about the behavior of a small depression anomaly (cold drop) sliding west of the Iberian Peninsula. Trend to be confirmed.

To go further with Météo Center

■ Weather risks in Centre-Val de Loire

■ Live observations (temperatures, rainfall, wind, etc.)

■ Weather webcams (live weather)

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