The defeat of Paris Saint-Germain on the ground of Bayern Munich (1-0) and the other results of the fifth day of the Champions League have already doomed the Ile-de-France hopes of slipping into the top eight of the ranking and joining directly the round of 16.
With only four points in five games, PSG finds itself in great danger in the race for qualification in the Champions League. Still beaten by Bayern Munich (1-0) this Tuesday, the Ile-de-France club then learned bad news: it will no longer be able to finish in the top eight in the ranking.
>> Relive the Bayern-PSG clash (1-0)
Mathematically, Paris can still take nine points with a flawless performance against Salzburg, Manchester City and Stuttgart. But with its provisional 25th place and taking into account the next posters of its rivals for the top 8, it is impossible to make up the deficit according to Opta. Provisional eighth, AS Monaco already has ten points and a better goal difference than PSG (+5 for ASM and -3 for Paris).
After the matches of the week in C1, the Opta supercomputer updated its predictions for the end of this unique group.
And PSG has a 0% chance of finishing in one of the top eight places. Ended, therefore, the dream of qualifying directly for the knockout stages of the Champions League.
Too many untouchable teams for PSG
It is already impossible for the French champion to join Liverpool, first qualifier with 15 units on the clock. The confrontation between Dortmund and Barça, scheduled for December 11 in Germany, should also validate the qualification of the winner while a draw would bring the two teams closer to the eighth.
In the same way, with for example a Leverkusen-Inter during the next day of the Champions League, the Lombards (currently 13 points) only need a draw to be assured of finishing ahead of the Parisians in the race for the top 8. The team coached by Xabi Alonso will finish ahead of PSG if it wins one of its next three matches (or if Paris does not perform flawlessly).
Along the same lines, Monaco's matches against Aston Villa and Arsenal will help either the Principality club or each of the English clubs to reach the points which would mathematically put PSG out of reach of the top 8. And all that, of course , without taking into account Lille, Brest or even Sporting Portugal and Atalanta who will fight for a direct ticket to the eighth.
Paris penultimate qualified?
The partners of Vitinha and Ousmane Dembélé will have to go through the play-offs… And again, this will only happen if they manage to climb between 9th and 24th position. Here too, nothing is certain even if Opta estimates that the team led by Luis Enrique has a 55% probability of continuing its continental adventure. Not without a real obstacle course.
Still according to the predictions of its supercomputer, the firm specializing in statistics ensures that PSG has a 0% chance of finishing ninth, tenth or eleventh in the ranking. As for twelfth place, Paris would only have 0.1% of achieving it.
Upon arrival, PSG's most likely position according to Opta would be 23rd place and therefore the penultimate place for the Champions League play-offs with a return away. This is why it seems essential to take at least six points (out of six) against Stuttgart and Salzburg and if possible also to win against Manchester City, who have been in poor shape for several weeks.
