how political forces are preparing for the post-Barnier era

how political forces are preparing for the post-Barnier era
how political forces are preparing for the post-Barnier era

Even before the fall of the Barnier government, expected on the evening of Wednesday December 4, 2024, the political forces are already in the aftermath and ambitions are taking shape in the face of the crisis. The horizon is blurred as the lines diverge. The president of the Ensemble pour la République group, Gabriel Attal, detailed this Wednesday morning to journalists, a scenario with « a political equation where it is no longer the National Rally which is able to dictate government policy.”

The former Prime Minister pleads for an opening to the left. “This would mean that there is a form of non-censorship agreement that has been reached with the socialists, in addition to the LR”he continued, as reported by several media. “I don’t know if that’s possible. In any case, I think that’s what we should aim for”said Gabriel Attal.

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For its part, the left is disunited in its projection of the post-Barnier era. Lhe leader of the socialist deputies, Boris Vallaud, said last week that he wanted to propose to all parties, with the exception of the RN, “to raise the question of the conditions for non-censorship” if the Barnier government were to be overthrown. Near the AFP a socialist framework, however, highlights the divergences between the vision of Gabriel Attal and that of the socialists on a formalized agreement. He “dream standing. That would be the best way to increase the votes of the RN” , he declares.

At the PS, “the permanent concern for compromise”

In an interview with Monde the First Secretary of the PS, Olivier Faure, pleads for “the appointment of a left-wing Prime Minister who applies the priorities of the New Popular Front (NFP), but with a permanent concern for compromise”. This Prime Minister would renounce 49.3 “in exchange for a non-censorship agreement” from the central block.

On this strategy, the socialist recognizes “ a fundamental divergence » with LFI which “ wants to achieve a deadlock situation” while the group calls for the resignation of Emmanuel Macron. “We are in favor of restoring Parliament to its rightful place”affirms Olivier Faure.
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“If it is to tell us again, under another formula, “the NFP program and nothing but the program”, it will be without us”reacts in the daily the president of the Horizons group, Laurent Marcangeli.

Among the Environmentalists, “a road map to govern”

MEPs from the environmental group also presented their “road map to govern”this Wednesday noon. This project, revealed by The Worldis articulated around a “base of eleven priority measures”with priority being given to the repeal of the 2023 pension reform. A program “clearly left-wing and environmentalist”according to the president of the group Cyrielle Chatelain, who must serve as “starting point for the formation of a government”.

Read also: From left to right, who is calling for Emmanuel Macron’s resignation in the political class?

Environmentalist senator Yannick Jadot, for his part, wants this left-wing government to include « ministers from the central bloc » opposite to his party’s position. Environmentalists also take the pledge “not to use 49.3 if the left and the environmentalists are in government”declared Cyrielle Chatelain during a press conference at the National Assembly. “We cannot say that we want another way of governing and continue to use this tool which brutalizes Parliament”she insisted.

On the right, the opposition to a common base

On the right, the position of the leader is clear in the face of the prospect of the reissue of “a common base” between the Macronist bloc and The Republicans. “Our commitment in September was only valid for Michel Barnier”said Laurent Wauquiez, in front of the deputies of his group this Tuesday, according to information Figaro confirmed toAFP by those around him.

François Bayrou, Bernard Cazeneuve or even Sébastien Lecornu… While names are already circulating to replace Michel Barnier, on the side of the National Rally, the trail of the current Minister of the Armed Forces has not been swept away, Jordan Bardella having spoken publicly of a possible “Lecornu government 1”. On the other hand, the party will not govern “with the NFP”assured the vice-president of the RN at the microphone ofEurope 1. “Better, we will censor any Prime Minister from the ranks of the left”he added.

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