The devastating reputation of the 49.3 is gone. The Prime Minister, Michel Barnier, is juggling the difficulties on his 2025 budget, presented to parliamentarians around ten days late and 60 billion euros in savings announced to restore public finances, all without any majority in power. National Assembly.
To have his finance bill (PLF) and his Social Security financing bill (PLFSS) adopted, the debates of which resume on Monday November 4, the former Brexit negotiator wants “give the democratic and parliamentary debate a chance to take place”, by delaying the use of article 49.3 of the Constitution, which allows a text to be adopted without a vote. “It’s the Barnier method”, underlined Wednesday October 30 the Minister of Relations in Parliament, Nathalie Delattre. A desire to show public opinion the break with“hyperpresidentialization”.
But, for their part, many deputies are fuming. At the end of several weeks of disjointed discussions due to lack of a majority in the Assembly, all groups now have a reason not to vote for the budget which they themselves contributed to amending. “There is no longer any consistency. A budget cannot be reduced to a series of amendments voted on one after the other with different alliances”deplores the elected representative (Renaissance) of Gers, Jean-René Cazeneuve.
« Overdose fiscale »
The mobilization of the New Popular Front (NFP) in the Hemicycle gave rise to the vote for some 40 billion euros in taxes on the first part of the budget. The Minister of Public Accounts, Laurent Saint-Martin, has since stormed against the« overdose fiscale » caused by the NFP measures adopted “with the complicity of the National Rally [RN] ». Most of these proposals should be ousted during the parliamentary shuttle, especially since these amendments, which create new taxes, are for the most part legally questionable, according to the general budget rapporteur, Charles de Courson.
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“It’s a fool’s game, sighs Charles Sitzenstuhl (Renaissance, Bas-Rhin), the NFP's fiscal delirium makes it possible to forget the government's initial fiscal shock [20 milliards d’euros de hausses d’impôts] which remains massive. » A risky game not only for the government, analyzes political scientist Benjamin Morel: “Groups that do not vote for the no-confidence motion risk suffering an unbearable political cost as the budget measures strike right at the heart of many electorates. »
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