We recently compiled a list of the 10 Stocks Jim Cramer Thinks You Should Check Out. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) stands against the other stocks Jim Cramer thinks you should check out.
Jim Cramer draws an engaging parallel between fantasy football and stock investing as the NFL season begins. Cramer uses this occasion to introduce his concept of “Fantasy Stock Football.” He likens selecting stocks for an investment portfolio to drafting players for a fantasy football team, emphasizing how both require strategic thinking and role balancing.
“While you’re enjoying the game, I want to get you into the NFL spirit with some Fantasy Stock Football.”
Unveiling Jim Cramer’s “Fantasy Stock Football” Strategy
Cramer enjoys blending real-world sports with market insights to offer a unique perspective on investing. He notes that, like fantasy football teams, investment portfolios consist of various stocks that play different roles, contributing to overall performance. Reflecting on the previous year, he highlights that the 11 stocks he recommended have risen an average of 38%, outperforming the S&P 500’s 23% gain. This comparison underscores his belief in the strategic approach to both fantasy football and stock selection.
“Now look, I love comparing real teams and real players to my favorite stocks. These are two great tastes that taste great together. More importantly, it gives me another angle to help you—I’ve got to teach you about the market in any way I can. Picking stocks for your portfolio has a lot in common with drafting players for your fantasy football team.
Fifty-five million people do it. Different positions play different roles for your fantasy team, just like different stocks fill different roles in your portfolio. By the way, if you look at the 11 stocks I highlighted when we did this a year ago, they’re now up an average of 38%, compared to the S&P 500, which is up 23% during the same period.”
Cramer’s Warning Against Overreacting to Market Fluctuations
Jim Cramer highlights some key mistakes investors are making and emphasizes the importance of a strategic approach to investing. He points out that many investors are making errors by overreacting to market fluctuations and trying to time their moves poorly. According to Cramer, sometimes the best strategy is to do nothing and avoid making rash decisions.
“People keep making a ton of mistakes when they should really just be sitting on their hands. Sometimes the best thing you can do is absolutely nothing. Instead, they’re acting out every possible fantasy nightmare when it comes to the market. Not only is it tedious and foolhardy, but it’s also very expensive for anyone who’s running with this non-strategy. You can see the averages, which started out like a house on fire today, only to fizzle out by the end.”
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Jim Cramer: Trust Powell’s Strategy Amid Economic Data Volatility
Cramer criticizes the persistent doubts about Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He believes Powell has managed the transition from tightening to easing policies well, despite earlier criticism for slow rate hikes. The ongoing panic over economic data—whether strong or weak—shows a lack of faith in Powell’s ability to adjust rates appropriately. Cramer asserts that the Fed will act as needed, whether that means a 25 or 50 basis point cut, and advises investors to trust Powell’s strategy rather than being swayed by market noise.
“There’s a belief that the Federal Reserve under Jerome Powell will somehow screw up the transition as they shift from tightening to stop inflation to easing to combat recession. At this point in Powell’s tenure, I find it insane that he never seems to get the benefit of the doubt. Well, yes, he started raising rates a little too late in 2022, but it’s hard to blame him for that. Powell didn’t want to hit the brakes on the economy when we were still dealing with a healthcare emergency, which is why he didn’t tighten in 2021.
Who would have thought that COVID would run its course so quickly? Who could have imagined that the Biden administration would be able to pass generous spending packages right when we stopped needing them, sparking an inflationary run? Since then, though Jerome Powell has done pretty much everything right. Once rolling, he raised rates with vigor because our country had some of the worst inflation in recent history.
The rate hikes, one after another, did manage to tamp down inflation. Everything that could be controlled by the Fed is now going the right way. Prices have come down all over the place, though many are still elevated compared to 2019 levels. But I don’t think anyone surveying the situation could honestly contend that Powell is going in the wrong direction…
What’s most important, though, is that if you have faith in Jerome Powell, as I do, you know he’ll give us a 25 basis point cut if that’s what’s needed. And if the economy suddenly gets weaker, then a 50 basis point cut would be on the table. Why is that so hard to understand? People keep freaking out about things that simply won’t be a problem, given that we have a competent central bank. They’ve done this during the run-up to every Fed easing cycle I can recall. You always get these tense moments—like right now—filled with wild swings, full of sound and fury, and of course, yes, signifying nothing.”
Jim Cramer Defends AI, Calls Early Criticisms Misguided
Cramer addresses skepticism around artificial intelligence (AI), arguing that it is premature to dismiss its potential. While current AI developments may not seem revolutionary, he believes that significant advancements, such as breakthroughs in cancer diagnosis, indicate that AI’s impact will grow over time.
“We’ve gone from a world where artificial intelligence (AI) was supposed to solve everything to a world where AI is treated as just a robust sham, except for when ServiceNow gets one more contract, of course. At its apex, AI was supposed to make organizations much more efficient, improve gross margins magically, and create inventions vastly better than the status quo. Sadly, we don’t see much of anything tangible, other than competing chatbots—rivaling inquiry systems that can generate information in sentence form, including hallucinations. We’re told the whole thing’s a canard, and this reality has slapped true believers like me in the face.”
Jim Cramer believes that dismissing AI as a failure is premature. He argues that people are underestimating its potential, as we are still early in discovering its practical applications. According to Cramer, recent advances in accelerated computing and generative AI have already led to significant breakthroughs, such as improvements in cancer diagnosis. While the excitement around AI in healthcare may suggest we’re on the brink of a major revolution, Cramer points out that we’re actually witnessing a gradual but important evolution in the technology’s capabilities.
“Now look, I think that’s just plain wrong. It’s way too early to view AI as a waste. People know nothing. We’re only a couple of years into finding use cases, for heaven’s sake. We just got word that accelerated computing and generative AI have led to a breakthrough in cancer diagnosis, which could be very important. That’s a huge thing. But the hype of what this technology could mean for healthcare seems to illustrate that we aren’t seeing a revolution yet—we’re just seeing a faster evolution.”
Our Methodology
The article reviews a recent episode of Jim Cramer’s Mad Moneywhere he discussed and recommended various stocks. It highlights ten companies that Cramer featured and explores their perception among hedge funds. The companies are ranked from the least owned to the most owned by hedge funds.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A team of technicians in a server room, testing and managing the newest server solutions.
Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 47
Jim Cramer expresses skepticism about Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI). He initially thought the Hindenburg report was solid but became less enthusiastic after Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) filed additional information the next day. While Cramer acknowledges that Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) has potential, he is concerned about the company’s need to improve its accounting practices, as highlighted by the Hindenburg report.
“I’m not a believer in this, to be honest. I thought the Hindenburg report was good. I wouldn’t have been as enthusiastic if it weren’t for that filing the company made the next day. I think Super Micro is good, but when you read the Hindenburg report, it’s clear they need to improve their accounting practices, and that’s what worries me.”
Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI)’s recent financial performance has been impressive, with Q3 FY2024 revenue reaching $3.85 billion, fueled by high demand for its high-performance computing and AI infrastructure. By managing its operating expenses effectively, Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) has improved its earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT).
Analysts are optimistic, predicting a potential 72% increase in the stock price and revenue growth to $15.23 billion in 2024, with long-term revenue possibly hitting $24.1 billion by 2029. Additionally, being included in the S&P 500 index has enhanced investor confidence and spotlighted its competitive position. Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI)’s Rack Scale Total Solution for AI storage is a standout product that aligns with the rising demand for AI systems.
Despite some concerns about cash burn and share dilution, Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI)’s strong revenue growth, positive analyst projections, and strategic focus on AI and cloud computing make it a promising investment with significant growth potential.
Polen U.S. Small Company Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“The second largest contributor to the Portfolio’s relative performance was Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI), a provider of high- performance, energy-efficient servers, which the Portfolio does not own. The stock declined notably in the quarter, providing a tailwind to relative performance. On a YTD basis, however, Super Micro is still our largest relative detractor, given its robust 1Q return.”
Overall SMCI ranks 4th on our list of the stocks Jim Cramer thinks you should check out. While we acknowledge the potential of SMCI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SMCI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
