What I will watch for in 2025

A man respectful of journalistic traditions, like me, feels obliged to do the classic rubbing of his crystal ball. Unfortunately, I don’t see the future there. So I’m just telling you what I’ll be watching closely. I stick to the local political scene.

The CAQ

I have difficulty seeing how the CAQ, worn down by two difficult mandates, could recover and regain first place. For the time she has left, let her make herself useful and act on the most urgent fronts: secularism, immigration, language and education. And health, you say? For that, you would have to have the faith of the coal burner. I don’t have it anymore. The private sector is here for good, and it’s all the better if it is properly supervised.

Federal elections

The federal elections must take place no later than October 20. The worst electoral performance in the history of the federal Liberal Party was the 18.9% of the votes and the 34 elected in 2011, under the leadership of Michael Ignatieff. Justin Trudeau will come close, but should not fall that low. The judgment of historians will be severe. It is not an exaggeration to see in this “little playboy narcissist” (Douglas Murray) the worst prime minister in the history of modern Canada if we consider the damage he left behind him.

L’islam radical

Radical Islam weaves its web in our schools, in our daycares, and undoubtedly elsewhere as well. Denial is no longer possible? On the contrary, it is always possible. We will drown the fish. Some will tell us: certainly, certainly, but there are also the evil Catholics, the evil masculinists, the evil extreme right, the incompetence of school management, the dangers of amalgamation, the moral panic in the face of change, etc. . Everything to refuse to see that an underground cultural war (less and less) is now taking place here. This would be entertaining to watch in 2025 if it wasn’t initially pitiful in its cowardice.

The PLQ

The PLQ will finally have a permanent leader. We must never bury the PLQ. It is an indestructible party quite simply because English-speakers and allophones guarantee it a minimum of 25 seats. Massive immigration automatically renews its electorate. But the next leader will face the same dilemma as Dominique Anglade: to regain a foothold among francophones outside the Montreal metropolitan region, he will have to take positions that will necessarily displease the anglophones and allophones who control him.

Le PQ

The PQ’s first position remains fragile. Support for sovereignty is not moving at the moment and he is not yet in the payoff zone that would give him a majority government. The closer we get to the elections, the more we will pressure the PQ to dilute its message. That would be the worst thing to do. He must stay the course, put the entire Canadian political regime on trial, occupy all the identity terrain, and not stupidly imagine that the false sovereignist pretensions of QS make it a potential ally.