The least we can say is that Donald Trump's intervention at the Davos Forum was expected. Expected with some desired, but feared by others, especially in Europe.
And his videoconferencing of January 23 confirmed the pugnacious intentions of the returning from the White House. If he had already desperately desperate the whole “Politburo” of European political ecology by confirming the withdrawal of the United States of the Paris Accords (COP21) and by announcing an unlimited exploitation of gas and oil resources from the American subsoil , he has since started the higher speed by announcing a complete change in the rules of the economic game, with the European Union in his viewfinder, as noted The echoes. In informed businessman, the American president has dropped off the object of the “deal” unrestrained on the table, which could be translated, with optimism, by “principle of carrot and stick” or, more coldly, by “blackmail Eco-Douanier “:” Either you come to make in the United States and you will benefit from the lowest taxation on the planet, or you want to produce elsewhere, and then you will have customs prices. “And Donald Trump to consolidate the followers of the first solution in their choice by assuring them that his country has (re) become” The best place to create jobs, build factories and do business ».
Cars and agriculture in the viewfinder
Having noticed the divisions between European states, Donald Trump threw a pavement in the pond, believing that ” Many European leaders are frustrated, especially due to ecological constraints and bureaucratic procedures ». An example? “” I had a project in Ireland a few years ago. It took me a week to get Irish authorizations. But I was told that then it would take five to six years for European authorizations. I gave up. The whole problem is there. »And hop! A small slap, by the way, to denounce European relentlessness against American technological companies (GAFAM), like these 15 billion claimed from Apple. “” It is unfair, it is a form of disguised taxation. Under Trumpian critics against European regulatory bureaucratism, we quickly guess the American desire to rebatter the cards on certain big markets on which Uncle Sam believes that the trade balance is too unfavorable to him. “” They hardly take our agricultural products “: That's for France. “” They don't take our cars, but they send us in the millions “: That's for Germany.
But Donald Trump is a follower of the multiband billiards. On the question of petroleum, there is undoubtedly the idea of putting oil back in the seized cogs of the world economy, but geopolitical ulterior motives are never far away: ” I will ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC to lower the cost of oil. I am frankly surprised that they did not do it before the election. Not doing it was not frankly proof of love. If the price was lower, the war in Ukraine would have immediately ended. Because the American president intends to quickly negotiate the end of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but out of the question of going to discuss it with his “friend” Putin without a colt on the belt and a cartridge in the shoulder. On this subject, too, he warned the European Union well that it should go to the checkout. And as noted The worldto the Euro-Atlantistes who hoping to obtain without compensation for security against Vladimir Putin, an adviser from Donald Trump, Richard Grenell replied: ” You will come up against a large chainsaw in the United States. You cannot ask the American people to pay to expand NATO to Ukraine when its current members do not pay their fair share-and that includes the Netherlands. »
If he asked the Fed (the American Federal Bank, which is only softly favorable) to lower interest rates in order to promote economic recovery, it also echoed the cavalry of the Argentine President Against wokism by delivering in passing a harsh Taquet to the boss of Bank of America, Brian Moynihan (who has just engaged in his International Advisory Council Thierry Breton, the best enemy of Elon Musk): “ Open your bank to the Conservatives. »A kind of large banking replacement, in short …
-It's time to wake up …
On the Brussels side, we take a little difficult (and with prudence) an expected blow, but probably more violent than expected. The former boss of the IMF and today president of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, believes that when ” A great actor in the world economy decides to organize things differently and threatens some of the partners with whom he used to work “, We can then fear a” existential crisis ». As for the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, very Atlanticist, she wanted to calm the game, saying herself of the ” pragmatism (Which does not eat bread), timidly brandishing the threat of agreements with India and China. This same China who, in passing, is preparing to eat all European car manufacturers because of an electric project in 2035 released from the boxes … Ursula von der Leyen.
The future promises to be complicated, for French interests, in particular on the issue of customs duties, insofar as we are entirely dependent on the strategic decisions taken at European level, and that several countries do not have the same interests that ours to defend. If, for example, the Germans will seek to defend their industry (and in particular automobile), we will have to fight firm concerning in particular the food industry and luxury, sectors on which we have a lot to lose.
But if the Trump Grenada, which has just put an end to the era of globalism, could at least wake up our leaders, it would already be won.
Print, save this article in pdf
