![Result of the 2024 legislative elections in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge (91240) – 1st round [PUBLIE]](https://euro.dayfr.com/content/uploads/2024/07/01/b3cdd6ea77.jpg)
19:52 – A forecast of 34% to 38% for the Popular Front in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge
Will the New Popular Ecological and Social Union, which has already exploded in flight, see its voters from that time turn to the new alliance on the left this Sunday? The Place-Publique list led by Raphaël Glucksmann and allied with the PS had accumulated 13.94% in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge for these continental elections. But the result of the left will obviously depend this time also on the transfer of votes from the LFI list, that of the Greens or that of the Communist Party on June 9. In other words, a sum of around 38% on site. The reserve of votes is not negligible. During the first round of the legislative elections two years ago, in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge, the Nupes duo had also obtained 34.45% of the votes in the locality. A score to finally compare with the 38% of left-wing voters in the first round of the presidential election, or the cumulative votes of Mélenchon-Roussel-Jadot-Hidalgo.
18:42 – The far right has gained solid ground in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge in 5 years
It is difficult to put all these results into perspective. But some clues are emerging… The RN has already won 8 points at the municipal level between the 2019 European elections and the equivalent in 2024. A nice package of votes. We cannot therefore exclude the possibility that the RN will finish close to 20% in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge on the evening of June 30, for the first round of the legislative elections.
15:31 – A Bardella effect also in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge three weeks ago?
Going back a few weeks seems even wiser, as we prepare for the vote on June 30. Because the result of the elections a few days ago will undoubtedly resonate in people’s minds. It was indeed the National Rally list presented by Bardella that won the European Parliament elections three weeks ago in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge, with 25.79% of the ballots in the ballot box (1,552 votes) ahead of the list led by Manon Aubry with 17.73%, herself followed by Raphaël Glucksmann with 13.94%.
14:32 – Jean-Luc Mélenchon above Macron and Le Pen in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge in the first round of the 2022 presidential election
It is probably the choice of the President of the Republic which is the most telling element on the political side of the inhabitants of a municipality. During the presidential election, the scenario was gloomy for the RN and its candidate Marine Le Pen, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the lead thanks to 30.22% in the first round, ahead of Emmanuel Macron with 26.19%. Marine Le Pen only collected 17.32%. In the second round, Emmanuel Macron won with 64.6% ahead of Marine Le Pen (35.4%).
12:32 – In Saint-Michel-sur-Orge, are the results of the last legislative elections as convincing today?
The result of the most recent legislative election seems a key element at the time of the election on June 30 and July 7. The RN had its feet in the carpet in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge two years ago, during the Parliamentary elections, with 14.24% in the first round, against 34.45% for Antoine Léaument (New Popular Union ecological and social), Saint-Michel-sur-Orge being part of the 10th constituency of Essonne. In the second round, the RN also failed, still leaving first place to the competitors labeled New Ecological and Social Popular Union with 47.93% against 52.07% for the winners. Antoine Léaument therefore won this vote on the spot.
11:02 – Understanding the electorate of Saint-Michel-sur-Orge: a look at local demographics
The demographic and socio-economic structure of Saint-Michel-sur-Orge defines the concerns and interests of voters, thus playing a role in the outcome of the legislative elections. In the city, 40% of residents are under 30 years old, and 20.1% are over 60 years old. The demographic distribution could influence political priorities, particularly with regard to education and health care. An average monthly net salary of 2,486.5 euros per month underlines the importance of issues on the distribution of wealth in the questions of the 5,993 citizens with a voter card. In addition, the presence of an immigrant population of 17.74% and a foreign population of 14.39% indicates issues of intercultural cohabitation. The education figures for Saint-Michel-sur-Orge highlight varying levels of qualifications, with 25.01% of residents having no qualifications, which underlines the importance of implementing programmes to improve access to education.
09:32 – Understanding the abstention rate in the elections in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge
In order to better understand the vote of the citizens of this agglomeration, it is essential to analyze the results of previous political consultations. During the European elections of June 2024, 48.78% of those registered on the electoral lists of Saint-Michel-sur-Orge went to the polls. The turnout was 49.49% in 2019. As a reminder, in the agglomeration, the turnout rate for the 2022 legislative elections reached 48.06% in the first round and only 46.22% in the second round. Two years ago, in the first round of the last presidential election, among the 12,412 people of voting age in the agglomeration, 74.19% went to vote, compared to a turnout of 68.62% in the second round, or 8,519 people.
08:02 – The legislative elections in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge are today
The opening hours of the 14 polling stations in Saint-Michel-sur-Orge are as follows: from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. without interruption. The 2024 legislative elections offer the 12,469 voters of Saint-Michel-sur-Orge the opportunity to react to the way in which France is managed. In the event that the union of the left or the RN obtains a majority of deputies in the Assembly, a cohabitation could occur, forcing Emmanuel Macron to appoint a Prime Minister from an opposing political movement to govern. This election is a new opportunity for the candidates of the left bloc (LFI, PS, Ecologists, PC, etc.) to make their party shine among the city’s residents. Don’t forget to bring an ID to vote.
 – 1st round [PUBLIE]){kind=link}