American presidential election | Financial markets welcome Trump’s return to the White House

(Paris) The financial markets are celebrating on Wednesday after Donald Trump managed to win the keys to the White House for the second time.

“So far, markets are following the same scenario as in 2016 during Trump’s victory: stocks are rallying, while long-term US Treasury bonds are being sold off in anticipation of a fiscal expansion,” he said. commented Gordon Shannon, portfolio manager at TwentyFour Asset Management.

The markets’ attention should subsequently “focus on the inflationary consequences of customs tariffs and the drop in immigration,” he continued.

Rates are rising

On the bond market, where already issued debt is traded, the interest rate on 10-year US government bonds jumped to 4.44% around 5:55 a.m. (Eastern time) on Wednesday, compared to 4.44%. .27% at the close on Tuesday, and that at maturity two years rose to 4.26%, against 4.18%.

This is a sign that the market expects “stronger growth and perhaps higher inflation”, a combination which could “slow down, or even stop”, the rate cuts planned by the American central bank (Fed ), underlined Stephen Dover, director of the Franklin Templeton Institute. The next meeting of Fed officials will be held Wednesday and Thursday.

On Wall Street, in electronic trading before the opening of the New York Stock Exchange, shares of American banks were up sharply, driven by soaring borrowing rates. JP Morgan jumped 6.63%, Bank of America 7.93%, Citigroup 8.21, Goldman Sachs 7.01% and Wells Fargo 8.62%.

The sought-after dollar

The dollar is soaring against the majority of other currencies. Around 5:55 a.m. (Eastern time), it gained 1.66%, to 1.0751 dollars per euro. The Dollar Index, which compares the greenback to a basket of currencies, reached a peak since the beginning of July, at 105,311 points.

“In Mexico, concern over possible increases in customs tariffs is causing the peso to plunge,” noted analysts at Saxo Bank. The Mexican currency dropped 2.68%, to 20.6535 pesos per dollar.

Bitcoin at a record high

Bitcoin soared 6.86% to $73,905, after hitting a new absolute record at $75,371.67, boosted by the prospect under the presidency of Donald Trump of regulatory relaxation and tax measures favoring the cryptocurrency sector.

European stock markets surprise

Wall Street is headed for a sharply higher open, according to stock index futures, which provide an indication of trends before the session begins.

Around 6:55 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones gained 2.95%, the broader S&P 500 index gained 2.30%, while the NASDAQ gained 1.76%, according to these futures contracts.

On the American stock market, the action of the Tesla group, owned by Elon Musk, rose by almost 15% in trading preceding the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. The title was carried by the support shown by the billionaire for Donald Trump.

Few details have filtered out about the distribution of the future Trump administration, with one notable exception: the Republican declared that he would entrust responsibility for a broad audit of the American state to Elon Musk, who spent more than 110 million dollars of his fortune for Donald Trump’s electoral campaign.

On the European stock markets, the indices are on the rise. Around 5:55 a.m. (Eastern time), the Paris Stock Exchange jumped 1.39%, London 1.25%, Frankfurt gained 0.84% ​​and Milan 0.62%.

“This reaction is surprising and counterintuitive with the return of Trump,” noted Alexandre Baradez, head of market analysis at IG France.

“With the arrival of Donald Trump in the White House, European products could face significant challenges, because” he “has made it clear that he will impose vast customs duties,” explained John Plassard, specialist in investment for Mirabaud.

The Republican wants to increase them to between 10 and 20% for all products entering the United States, and up to 60% for those coming from China or even 200% for certain types of goods.