I dug a little into the subject, I still have difficulty seeing how they arrive at this figure of x4.5-5 for the cost of EECs for the final consumer (it’s nonsense, the source doesn’t say it not…).
According to this site, CEEs are currently trading at ~8€50 per MWhc and they are forecasting barely a few tens of cents more for the end of 2026: Evolution of the price of CEEs – C2E MARKET
And according to this page on the EDF website, the quantity of CEE that EDF (or any other energy supplier) must currently buy is, if I understood correctly, 0.478 conventional MWHc and 0.296 precarious MWHc per MWh sold to individuals and entities in the tertiary sector (industrial is not counted).
We are therefore today at a cost of around €7 of CEE to purchase per MWh sold to individuals/tertiary sectors. Or 0.7 cts/kWh sold to individuals/tertiary sectors, if the cost of these CEEs is only passed on to them and not to all customers.
For the average household which consumes around 5800 kWh of electricity per year, that’s €41 per year on a bill of around €1200.
For gas, the average is 12,000 kWh/year, or €84/year, on a bill of around €1,300.
For fuel oil, it is 21,000 kWh/year, or €147/year, on a bill of around €2,730 (assuming that the coefficients for fuel oil are of the same order as those mentioned on the EDF site for gas and electricity).
These amounts are of course not completely cumulative: what weighs heavily in average consumption is heating, and those who heat themselves with one energy rarely heat themselves with another at the same time, so the average French household does not It doesn’t have 5,800 kWh of electricity, 12,000 of gas and 21,000 of fuel oil at the same time.
As a result, the current €200 per year probably only concerns a small minority of households (those who heat with oil and have a fairly high consumption of electricity).
Then the article talks about doubling the volumes of CEE. So why would their weight in invoices be multiplied by 4.5 or 5? We can assume that a doubling of the demand for CEE would increase their unit price a little, and therefore that it would a little more than double the total cost, but from there to arriving at x5, there is still a step … Especially since c2emarket does not seem to anticipate a sharp increase in prices in 2026 for the moment…
If I were being teasing, I would say that this is a buzz from Colombus Consulting to make itself known and fill its prospect base, since to access the study you have to provide name, first name, email address, company, position …
