In Moscow, May 9, 2025 promises to be tense. Between grandiose parade and Ukrainian drones, does Ukraine prepare a bold blow? Discover the issues.
On May 9, 2025, the streets of Moscow will vibrate to the rhythm of drums and tricolor flags. This date, celebrated as the victory daymarks the capitulation of Nazi Germany in 1945. But this year, the shadow of the war in Ukraine hovers on the festivities. Three days before the event, a wave of Ukrainian drones hit Russian territory, sowing trouble. Should we fear a spectacular action by kyiv in full parade?
May 9 under high voltage
Each year, Russia puts small dishes in the big ones to commemorate the 1945 victory. The Red Square becomes the scene of an impressive military parade, where tanks, soldiers and planes parade under the eyes of the Kremlin and international guests. In 2025, heads of state, including Chinese and Brazilian presidents, were expected. But could Ukraine, at war with its neighbor since 2022, transform this day into a symbol of resistance?
Recent events leave little room for doubt. During the night of May 5 to 6, a hundred Ukrainian drones targeted Russian targets, disturbing airports and even affecting the capital. These attacks, although limited in material damage, send a clear message: kyiv is capable of hitting far and strong.
Why is May 9 so symbolic?
For the Russians, May 9 is not a simple commemoration. It is a pillar of national identity, a moment when the country celebrates its resilience in the face of adversity. The authorities highlight the decisive role of the Soviet Union in Nazi defeat, glorifying a heroic past. This year, marking the 80th anniversary of victory, the event takes on a particular magnitude.
“May 9 is more than a party, it is an affirmation of Russian power in front of the world. »»
A historian specialist in Russia
But this day is also an opportunity for Ukraine. By disturbing the celebrations, kyiv could not only challenge his opponent, but also draw worldwide attention to the current conflict. A symbolic action, like a new wave of drones or a cyber attack, would be a resounding communication stroke.
The signals of an escalation
Recent drone attacks are not isolated. Since the start of the conflict, Ukraine has multiplied daring operations on Russian soil, aimed at strategic infrastructure such as fuel deposits or military bases. These actions, often carried out with Kamikazes dronesdemonstrate an increasing technological capacity.
In parallel, Ukrainian statements add to the tension. kyiv authorities have warned that they could not guarantee the security of the foreign dignitaries present in Moscow. Simple bluff or real threat? This ambiguity maintains the pressure on the Kremlin.
The significant facts of recent attacks:
-- May 6, 2025: A hundred drones hit Russian targets.
- 10 disturbed airports, including those of Moscow.
- No major human damage reported, but a strong psychological impact.
Russia in the face of the threat
For its part, Russia is preparing for all eventualities. The security measures around the capital have been reinforced, with large-scale anti-drone systems. The Kremlin, aware of the symbolic issue, wants to avoid at all costs a fiasco in Mondovision.
However, the war in Ukraine complicates the task. The Russian forces, engaged on several fronts, must juggle between the protection of the national territory and military operations abroad. This dispersion of resources could offer a window of opportunity to Ukraine.
Geopolitical issues
May 9, 2025 was not limited to a confrontation between Russia and Ukraine. The presence of foreign leaders, especially Chinese and Brazilian, places the event under the world’s projectors. An Ukrainian attack, even symbolic, could have major diplomatic repercussions.
For China, a strategic ally of Russia, an incident would highlight the faults of Russian security, weakening the image of a reliable partner. Brazil, on the other hand, seeks to maintain a neutral position in the conflict. A disturbance could complicate its relations with the two belligerents.
“A Ukrainian action on May 9 would be a camouflet for Moscow, but also a risky bet for kyiv. »»
A geopolitical analyst
What scenarios for May 9?
Several hypotheses emerge as regards the intentions of Ukraine. Here are the most likely scenarios:
- Targeted drone attack : A new wave of drones aimed at secondary infrastructure, to avoid human losses but maximize the media impact.
- Cyber attack : A disturbance of Russian networks, such as state media or communication systems, to sow chaos.
- Symbolic action : An operation of smaller magnitude, such as the diffusion of propaganda messages on Moscow screens.
- Situation when : Ukraine could choose to do nothing, leaving the threat alone to be enough to tarnish the festivities.
Each option has risks. An overly daring attack could cause military escalation, while lack of action could be perceived as a sign of weakness. Ukraine will have to weigh its choices with precision.
A precarious balance
As May 9 approaches, the world holds its breath. Russia wants to project an image of force, while Ukraine seeks to recall that it remains a formidable adversary. This geopolitical poker game, where each movement is scrutinized, could redefine the dynamics of the conflict.
For the moment, one thing is certain: the Victory day 2025 will not be a simple celebration. It will be a mirror of tensions that tear Eastern Europe, a test for the resilience of the two nations and, perhaps, a turning point in this war which does not seem ready to go out.
| Postman | May 9 impact |
|---|---|
| Drone attacks | Symbolic disturbance, psychological pressure. |
| International presence | Increased diplomatic issues. |
| Reinforced security | Risk reduction, but possible flaws. |
In conclusion, May 9, 2025 promises to be a pivotal moment. Between patriotic celebration and threat of climbing, Russia and Ukraine play a tight part. The world, on the other hand, observes, aware that each action could have repercussions far beyond the borders of the two countries.
