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Why this shock survey on the 2027 presidential election causes a stir to the national gathering

Why this shock survey on the 2027 presidential election causes a stir to the national gathering
Why this shock survey on the 2027 presidential election causes a stir to the national gathering

LIONEL BONAVENTURE / AFP

The RN meeting scene in Narbonne during May 1 (Illustration)

POLICY – The precaution made a familiar in the national pouffer. In a story published on Instagram this Monday, May 5, MP RN du Var, Laure Lavalette, deployed treasures of prudence to congratulate herself from the shock the same , but without committing a crime of lese majesty.

« , who supports Marine, would even beat Gabriel Attal “Comments the spokesperson for the RN group in the Assembly, by publishing a graph showing that the party president would obtain 52 % in a hypothetical 2nd round against the former Prime Minister. The precision is important, as the hypothesis of plan B to replace Marine Le Pen strongly threatened with ineligibility causes tensions to the RN. So much importance that the Marinist staff forced Ifop to test the candidacy of Marine Le Pen, according to information from Monde dont The HuffPost a eu confirmation.

It must be said that the customer of this vast study, the think tank Freshly created “hexagon”, had not asked the Surveration Institute to test the president of the RN group, but only its runner -up, Jordan Bardella. However, it turns out that this laboratory of ideas is funded by the liberal billionaire conservative Pierre-Édouard Sterin. A man who arouses distrust at the RN, even if he is of public notoriety that he puts part of his fortune in the service of a of the extreme right.

“Political

The reason? His penchant for a (very) liberal economy which, according to some, would lead him to prefer the Jordan Bardella offer (eager to be well seen by the economic elite) to that embodied by Marine Le Pen, considered too statist by his detractors of the right and extreme right. In reality, the billionaire, who assesses everything in his Excel table, gratified the two leaders of the RN of the same note (7/10), had revealed The New Obs

The fact remains that some, like the very marinist Jean-Philippe Tanguy, see it as an attempt at destabilization aimed at fueling a pro-Bardella sling. In a message to an internal loop, and of which The HuffPost obtained a , the RN deputy of the Somme (known for his sovereignist positions) shoots red bullets against this ” political order ».

« The goal is obviously to create controversies to weaken us when the real teaching of these surveys is that the RN is able to win a brilliant victory ”, denounces the elected RN, pointing to “ vile maneuvers Having led the Marinist staff to intervene from the think tank in question to add Marine Le Pen to the list of names tested by Ifop. This delayed the of publication of the study, initially scheduled for May 1.

The persistence of the taboo

Qualitative problem: The late addition of the Pas-de-Calais MP could not be done on the same sample. “” We made the results, then, on April 28, there was a hexagon request to make an additional investigation with Marine Le Pen. Given the deadline, we could not do more than 2,000 people ”, justifies Monde Frédéric Dabi, Director General of Ifop.

Anyway, Jean-Philippe Tanguy did not keep his criticism for him. “” I won’t leave [faire] A number of lobbies, people who have no interest, for their dirty cases, that Marine Le Pen is restoring order in France and finally defends our compatriots “, He scolded on CNews on Monday, wondering about the timing of this study. Carried out from April 11 to 18 (in the wake of the of Marine Le Pen), it was made public almost a month later. Enough to suspicions among relatives of the RN queue chief.

« These people are supposedly there to help us and place an order to weaken Marine during the May 1. Their goal is to stab Marine Le Pen, then weaken Jordan Bardella, to propel Retailleau ”, suspect Jean-Philippe Tanguy, also quoted by The . An episode that has the interest of revealing the persistence of the taboo concerning the Bardella hypothesis and the determination of the Marinist staff to bring the candidacy of Marine Le Pen to life, however conditioned to the Clemence (far from being acquired) of the appeal planned for the summer of 2026.

To see also on the HuffPost:

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