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The United States, a “polarized” country? Maybe not for long

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How do “Boomers” contribute to current polarization?

By their numbers, between 75 and 79 million people, they have shaped the political landscape. It can be argued that this generation became the richest in the country’s history, but they did not give subsequent generations the means to experience the same lifestyle. Today, “Millennials” and “Generation Z” are suffering from the climate crisis, have difficulty accessing property, are in debt because of their university studies… I have gotten into the habit of saying that the “Boomers ” climbed the ladder but removed the bars behind them.

Will the generational change you describe mark the end of polarization?

Some of the current friction will disappear as the Boomers withdraw from the political process over the next fifteen years. Members of the new cohorts have more homogeneous opinions on many social issues. Indeed, it is estimated that 40 to 50% of individuals between the ages of 20 and 30 do not describe themselves as religious or Christian, while 95% of “Baby Boomers” say that religion, God or Christianity are important to them. eyes. This development is significant because many of the fundamental struggles in American politics have an underlying religious dimension: reproductive rights, LGBTQ issues or even support for Israel or the Palestinians…

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Can new fractures emerge?

Three fissures need to be closely monitored: education, racial affiliation and social class. Indeed, if “Millennials” and “Gen Z” are more left-wing than previous generations, there is an important exception among them: white men without a university education. They view the world as their grandfathers did! The idea of ​​a country presided over by a woman hardly appeals to them and Kamala Harris will not be able to change their minds. We also do not know what the political orientations of the “Alpha”, born after 2010, will be.

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