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Two polls put Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump, but the vote remains close

In the race for the American presidential election, Kamala Harris seems to have the wind at her back. According to a survey by New York Times published Tuesday, the Democratic candidate has in fact taken a slight lead over Donald Trump. The vice-president received 49% of voting intentions nationally, compared to 46% for her Republican rival.

Monday, a Reuters/Ipsos poll relayed by the newspaper The Independentgave the same classification. According to this, Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump by three points, with 46% against 43% for her opponent. But this gap is exactly equal to the margin of error. According to this survey, “55% of Americans would agree with the statement that Joe Biden’s vice-president would be “mentally sharp and capable of meeting challenges” compared to 46% who say the same thing about Trump.”

Many twists and turns

The election, organized by indirect universal ballot, is however being played out in a handful of highly contested states, from Arizona to Michigan, including Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia and Wisconsin.

Poll after poll, the two candidates remain neck and neck, despite a series of unprecedented twists and turns: the criminal conviction of Donald Trump, two assassination attempts targeting him, the withdrawal of current President Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ entry into the race.

“I’m literally losing hours of sleep because of what’s at stake in this election,” the Democratic candidate said in a radio interview Tuesday. “Right now, I end almost every day wondering what more I can do,” she said.

Harris targets moderate Republicans

In the survey of New York Timesproduced with Siena College University, the 59-year-old candidate is making inroads with Republicans, 9% of whom support her. To take up the torch from Joe Biden, she is trying to rally part of this electorate by betting that certain moderate Republicans do not want her 78-year-old Republican rival, known for his excesses.

Our file on the American Presidential election

Kamala Harris organized a campaign meeting last week with former Republican elected official Liz Cheney, repudiated by Donald Trump. And reiterated on Tuesday her intention to appoint a Republican to her government if she was elected.

Four weeks before the vote, the dynamic is therefore in favor of the current vice-president. The latest opinion survey of New York Timespublished in mid-September, placed the two candidates for the White House in perfect equality nationally, each at 47%.

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