The very bad image of Jean-Luc Mélenchon

The very bad image of Jean-Luc Mélenchon
The very bad image of Jean-Luc Mélenchon

The French are particularly harsh with Jean-Luc Mélenchon. In an Ifop survey, the LFI leader is seen as being a liability for his party by 76% of French people, for Nupes by 79% and finally to allow the left to return to power by 80% of respondents. The figures are terrible: it is considered “exceeded” by 66% of respondents and “worrying” by 61%. Only 31% consider it close to the concerns of the French, a figure down 22 points compared to May 2022.

A colossal but obvious fall when its only subject is now Gaza. So much the worse for the purchasing power of the working classes who now choose Marine Le Pen. Only 28% of respondents judge that he is attached to democratic values ​​and 22% that he is capable of bringing the French together. And only one in five French people want to run in the next presidential election.

There are reasons for this poll: Mélenchon is a Source of division on the left. At La France insoumise, he annoys Raquel Garrido, Alexis Corbière, Clémentine Autain and even François Ruffin. They showed their disagreement on the Adrien Quatennens affair, the strategy of messing up the Assembly at the time of retirements or even Hamas which is not a terrorist group. Inaudible rebels during these Europeans.

Find the missing 400,000 votes

A campaign where the Franco-Palestinian activist Rima Hassan takes all the space, including that of Manon Aubry, the head of the LFI list. It was also imposed on everyone by Jean-Luc Mélenchon. For Nupes, Mélenchon is responsible for its breakup with his refusal to call for calm during the riots and his ever more outrageous declarations since October 7. He recently attacked PS deputy Jérôme Guedj.

Finally, a handicap to allow the left to return to power, that is certain, it does not embody a left of government but its objective is the second round, not power. Like Jean-Marie Le Pen before him. It is in a strategy of polarization, of cleavage, no unity, a first round strategy but in the second you need 50% and 1 vote. Mission impossible for Mélenchon even against Marine Le Pen.

Its strategy is therefore to seek the 400,000 votes it lacks to face the president of the RN group in the Assembly, in an electorate which abstains in the cities. His bet is then to limit the desertion of left-wing voters who in the first round will still vote for him because he will be the useful vote. They will vote by holding their noses but they will vote, because the voter on the left is like the voter on the right, he wants to win.

This is why we should not take Manon Aubry’s European score as definitive. In 2019, Yannick Jadot was the surprise with more than 13%, 3 years later he had less than 5% against the steamroller Mélenchon. He’s aiming for the second round against Marine Le Pen, and then it’s him or chaos. So it will be chaos.

JDD

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