Sturm Graz Predictions, Analysis and Odds on 01/21/2025

This Tuesday evening at Gewiss Stadium, Atalanta Bergamo welcomes Sturm Graz in a Champions League match which promises to be crucial for both teams. The Bergamasques, currently 13th with 11 points, find themselves in a delicate position, only one point behind AC Milan and neck and neck with Juventus.

Facing them, the Austrians from Sturm Graz, stuck in 29th place with only 3 points, will try to get their heads above water.

Gasperini’s men are going through a paradoxical period: their positive goal differential (+9) contrasts with their position in the standings, suggesting untapped potential.

The recent statistics are revealing: despite difficulty achieving success in the first half, the team remains solid defensively with few goals conceded.

Sturm Graz, under the leadership of Jürgen Säumel, displays formidable offensive efficiency: the team has scored in all of its last five matches, demonstrating remarkable consistency in the offensive sector despite its position in the standings.

This ability to find the net, particularly in the second half, could test the Bergamo defense.

Kick-off will be given at 6:45 p.m., in a match which could prove decisive for the rest of the competition.

Match details Atalanta – Sturm Graz

• Stade: Certainly a stadium
• Time: 01/21/2025 6:45 p.m.

Who is the favorite for Atalanta Bergamo – SK Sturm Graz

Discover the probabilities for the different 1X2 predictions as well as the best odds for the match on 01/21/2025 between Atalanta Bergamo and SK Sturm Graz in the Champions League.

• Victory for Atalanta Bergamo : 85% chance.
• Draw : 10% chance.
• Victory for SK Sturm Graz : 5% chance.

The Atalanta match – Sturm Graz

For the football predictions on the Atalanta – Sturm Graz match, Atalanta Bergamo appears as favorite with an odds of 1.19

By registering on Winamax, you benefit from a welcome bonus of up to €100 thanks to the Winamax bonus.

We receive a commission from the sports betting sites mentioned on the site. 18+ | General conditions applicable

Atalanta – Sturm Graz: History of confrontations

By analyzing the last two confrontations between Atalanta and Sturm Graz, we note a slightly favorable outcome for the Bergamos. The last meeting, in November 2023, ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Atalanta at home. In October of the same year, the two teams parted in a prolific draw (2-2) in Austria.

An interesting pattern emerges from these confrontations: the first periods are generally lively with systematically more than 1.5 goals, while the second halves turn out to be significantly more closed, with less than 1.5 goals in 100% of cases.

Atalanta maintains an invincibility against the Austrians, even if the balance remains fragile with a victory and a draw. Notable point: the Bergamasques have systematically found the net against Sturm Graz, who for their part have always conceded at least one goal in these confrontations.

Atalanta: News and form

Atalanta is currently going through a delicate period, illustrated by disappointing recent results. The home defeat against Naples (2-3) this weekend highlights the defensive difficulties of Gasperini’s team, which concedes goals in 80% of its matches. This fragility in defense persists despite some encouraging performances, such as the 1-1 draw against Juventus and the 0-0 against Udinese.

A stalled offensive

The lack of offensive efficiency remains a major problem for the team, which has not won any of its last five meetings (3 draws, 2 defeats). This is particularly evident in the first half, where Atalanta failed to take the advantage in its last outings. Statistics show that 80% of the team’s matches end with less than 2.5 goals, suggesting difficulty in developing their usual attacking game.

A lightning in the middle of the darkness

However, positive points remain, such as the excellent form of Charles De Ketelaere. The attacking midfielder stands out for his quality of passing and his precision in front of goal, offering some hope in a broken offensive sector. But this inability to realize its highlights remains a source of concern.

A worrying ranking

Currently 13th with 11 points, the Bergamo team finds itself in an uncomfortable position, closely followed by Juventus and AC Milan, who are only one point apart. Gasperini will have to quickly provide solutions to rectify the situation and regain the offensive efficiency that has long made Atalanta’s reputation.

-

We receive a commission from the sports betting sites mentioned on the site. 18+ | General conditions applicable

Atalanta: Key points

1. Defensive difficulties : Atalanta has conceded goals in 80% of its last matches, including a home defeat against Naples (2-3), revealing a persistent fragility in defense.
2. Lack of offensive efficiency : The team is winless in its last five games (3 draws, 2 losses), with a major problem of offensive inefficiency, especially in the first half.
3. Matches with few goals : 80% of Atalanta’s matches end with less than 2.5 goals, which shows difficulty in developing its usual offensive game.
4. Form by Charles De Ketelaere : Despite the collective difficulties, De Ketelaere shines with his passes and his precision in front of goal, offering a flash of hope in a broken down sector.
5. Worrying position in the rankings : Atalanta is currently 13th with 11 points, under pressure from Juventus and AC Milan, which forces Gasperini to quickly find solutions to rectify the situation.

Atalanta: The last five matches

Probable compositions Atalanta

Atalanta are expected to adopt a 3-4-1-2 system for their next match, with Carnesecchi in goal. The defense will be made up of Djimsiti, Hien and Scalvini, with Bellanova and Ruggeri on the flanks.

In midfield, de Roon and Éderson will form the double pivot, while Samardžić will play in support of attackers Lookman and De Ketelaere.

This formation emphasizes a balance between defensive solidity and offensive creativity, despite Scamacca’s injury.

Sturm Graz: News and fitness

Sturm Graz is going through a contrasting period, marked by encouraging performances in the championship, but a certain fragility on the European scene. In the Champions League, the recent 3-2 defeat against Lille highlights this duality. Despite obvious combativeness and goals from Kiteishvili and Biereth, the team ended up giving in in the final moments, illustrating their difficulties against the more seasoned teams in Europe.

Convincing results in the championship

On the other hand, in the Austrian championship, the results are more convincing. The team notably delivered a show of strength against Austria Klagenfurt (7-0) and won with authority away against WSG Wattens (3-0). These performances illustrate solid offensive efficiency, with the team having scored in their last five matches in all competitions. She also displays good consistency in the first half, with 80% of her matches where she finds the net before the break.

Challenges in Europe

However, the situation in the Champions League remains worrying. With only 3 points in 5 matches, Sturm Graz occupies 29th place in the ranking and is struggling to maintain its level against the more experienced teams on the continent. Just one point behind Sparta Prague, Jürgen Säumel’s men will have to raise their defensive level if they want to hope to progress in the European hierarchy.

We receive a commission from the sports betting sites mentioned on the site. 18+ | General conditions applicable

Sturm Graz: Key points

1. Contrasted period : Sturm Graz is experiencing a checkered dynamic, with solid performances in the league but difficulties in the Champions League, such as the 3-2 defeat against Lille.
2. Impressive results in the championship : The team showed its power in the Austrian Bundesliga, notably with a resounding victory against Austria Klagenfurt (7-0) and an away success against WSG Wattens (3-0).
3. Offensive efficiency : Sturm Graz have scored in their last five matches in all competitions, with impressive consistency in the first half (80% of their matches).
4. Difficulties in the Champions League : With only 3 points in 5 games, the team finds itself in a difficult position in Europe, in 29th place, and struggles to compete with more seasoned teams.
5. Defensive challenges in Europe : To hope to progress in the European hierarchy, Sturm Graz will have to improve their defense, especially against more experienced opponents like Lille and Sparta Prague.

Sturm Graz: The last five matches

Compositions probables Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz are expected to play in a 4-3-1-2 system for their next match, with Khudyakov guarding the goals. The defense will be made up of Johnston, Geyrhofer, Wüthrich and Lavalée.

In the middle, Chukwuani, Gorenc Stankovic and Yalcouyé will form the central trio, with Kiteishvili providing offensive support. Bøving and Biereth will complete the attack.

The team, although missing some key players, remains strong and ready to challenge its opponent.

Find all our predictions as well as our odds comparators: