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Brentford forecasts, analysis and odds on 12/27/2024

For the match of the 18th day of the Premier League, Brighton hosts Brentford this Friday at the American Express Stadium (7:30 p.m.). The Seagulls, currently 10th with 25 points, are going through a complicated period with four matches without a victory in the league. Fabian Hürzeler's team is struggling to regain its characteristic offensive efficiency, even if it continues to score regularly (at least one goal in its last 5 matches).

Opposite, Brentford (12th, 23 points) presents a contrasting record. Thomas Frank's men continue to experience contrasting results, alternating victories and defeats. Even more worryingly for the Bees, their away trip this season has yet to be rewarded with any success.

The last confrontation between these two teams at the Amex ended in a spectacular 3-3 draw, but the current context suggests a more closed meeting. Brighton, who are only 3 points behind Aston Villa, will want to take advantage of this home match to revive themselves and find their usual standards. The stakes are all the more important as Tottenham and West Ham are only a few lengths behind Brentford in the standings.

Brighton – Brentford match details

  • Stade : Stade American Express
  • Time: 12/27/2024 8:30 p.m.

The Brighton – Brentford Coast

For football predictions on the Brighton – Brentford match, Brighton appears as favorite with odds of 1.64.

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Who is the favorite for Brighton – Brentford

Discover the probabilities of the different 1X2 predictions as well as the best odds for the match on 12/27/2024 between Brighton and Brentford in the Premier League.

  • Brighton victory : 62% chance.
  • Draw : 22% chance.
  • Brentford victory : 20% chance.

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Brighton – Brentford predictions and odds:

Brighton – Brentford: Comparison of the best odds

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Brighton – Brentford: History of confrontations

03/04/2024 Brentford 0 – 0 Brighton
06/12/2023 Brighton ???? 2 – 1 Brentford
26/07/2023 Brentford 0 – 2 ????Brighton
01/04/2023 Brighton 3 – 3 Brentford
14/10/2022 Brentford ???? 2 – 0 Brighton

Brighton: News and Fitness

A streak of results without a win

Brighton are currently going through a difficult time with a run of five matches without a win in the Premier League. The last draw (1-1) against West Ham illustrates the team's recent offensive difficulties, even if they systematically manage to score.

A fragile defense and a lack of consistency

The Seagulls are showing worrying signs, especially in the second half where they regularly concede goals (100% over the last 5 matches). The home defeat against Crystal Palace (1-3) and the disappointing draw against Leicester (2-2) after leading by two goals demonstrate a worrying lack of consistency.

The absence of Daniel Welbeck due to injury does not help matters for a team which is struggling to realize its strong moments. Currently 10th with 25 points, Brighton sees the gap widening with the European places, now falling to 3 points behind Aston Villa.

Domestic difficulties to resolve

Even more worrying, the team is no longer capable of winning at home, an area which was its strength last season. The statistics are revealing: no victory in the last 5 matches, with 3 draws and 2 defeats. The defense shows signs of fragility, systematically conceding at least one goal in its last outings.

Coach Fabian Hürzeler will have to find solutions quickly, particularly to solidify his team in the second half where the Seagulls seem particularly vulnerable. The next match against Brentford, who are yet to win away this season, could be the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways.

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Key points (Brighton):

  • Winless streak : Brighton are going through a run of five games without a win, including a 1-1 draw against West Ham, showing offensive difficulties despite their ability to score.
  • Defensive problems in the second half : The team systematically concedes goals in the second half, with obvious defensive failures in the last matches (100% of the last 5 matches).
  • Absence de Welbeck : The absence of Daniel Welbeck, injured, aggravates the team's difficulties in realizing its chances during dominant periods.
  • Difficulties at home : Brighton can no longer win at home, with a series of 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 home matches.
  • Threat of rupture with Europe : The team is currently 10th with 25 points, 3 points behind Aston Villa and risks losing its place in Europe if the situation does not improve.

Brighton: last five matches

21/12/2024 Western Ham 1 – 1 Brighton
15/12/2024 Brighton 1 – 3 Crystal Palace
08/12/2024 Leicester 2 – 2 Brighton
12/05/2024 Fulham 3 – 1 Brighton
29/11/2024 Brighton 1 – 1 Southampton

Compositions probables Brighton

To face Brentford, Brighton should play 4-2-3-1, with Verbruggen in goal. The defense will consist of Veltman, van Hecke, Dunk and Estupiñán. Baleba and Wieffer will play in defensive midfield, while Gruda, João Pedro and Mitoma will play more offensively. Rutter will be aligned in attack. Several players, including Webster, March and Milner, are doubtful and Welbeck's physical condition remains to be monitored. Despite these absences, the 4-2-3-1 system remains favored by coach Hürzeler.

Both teams, Brighton and Brentford, haven't been particularly prolific in attack in their last few games, and that dynamic doesn't seem likely to change this Friday. Thus, we can expect a rather closed match, with less than 2.5 goals scored.

  • Side : 2,45
  • Bookmaker : Winamax

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Brentford: News and form

A worrying series of defeats

There are serious concerns about Brentford's current form, with a worrying run of four defeats in their last five games. Thomas Frank's team is going through a difficult period, notably marked by a 0-2 home defeat against Nottingham Forest, where the Bees showed significant offensive shortcomings. This poor performance comes on top of significant setbacks against Newcastle (3-1) in the League Cup and Chelsea (2-1) in the league.

A defensive fragility to correct

The only positive point in this gloomy picture remains the convincing 4-2 victory against Newcastle in the Premier League, demonstrating that the team retains a certain attacking potential. However, the defensive statistics are alarming: Brentford have conceded first-half goals in their last five outings, revealing chronic fragility at the start of matches.

Of inconsistent performances

The Mbeumo-Wissa offensive duo, usually effective, is currently struggling to compensate for these defensive weaknesses. The team, positioned in 12th place with 23 points, finds itself in a delicate situation, tied on points with Tottenham and West Ham. This precarious position reflects the current instability of performances, far from the standards established by the club in recent seasons.

Without a rapid improvement in their defensive solidity and greater offensive efficiency, Thomas Frank's men could see their position in the standings deteriorate even further. The team's ability to react in future meetings will be crucial to avoid a more pronounced negative spiral.

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Key points (Brentford):

  • Worrying series of defeats : Brentford are experiencing a series of four defeats in their last five matches, including a home defeat against Nottingham Forest (0-2) and other setbacks against Newcastle and Chelsea.
  • Defensive fragility at the start of the match : The team has conceded first-half goals in its last five games, highlighting a consistent defensive weakness early in games.
  • Offensive potential despite everything : Despite the string of defeats, Brentford showed good offensive capabilities, notably with a 4-2 victory against Newcastle, but struggles to compensate for its defensive shortcomings.
  • Performance inconsistency : The Mbeumo-Wissa duo, usually effective, cannot maintain regularity in performances, which contributes to the instability of the team.
  • Precarious position in the ranking : With 23 points, Brentford is in 12th position, tied on points with Tottenham and West Ham, and risks seeing its position deteriorate if the defensive and offensive problems are not quickly corrected.

Brentford: last five matches

21/12/2024 Brentford 0 – 2 Nottingham Forest
18/12/2024 Newcastle 3 – 1 Brentford
15/12/2024 Chelsea 2 – 1 Brentford
12/07/2024 Brentford 4 – 2 Newcastle
04/12/2024 Villa Aston 3 – 1 Brentford

Compositions probables Brentford

To face Brighton, Brentford are expected to play 4-3-3, with Flekken in goal and a revamped defense consisting of Roerslev, Collins, Mee and Lewis-Potter. Nørgaard, Janelt and Damsgaard will form the midfield, while Mbeumo, Wissa and Schade will lead the attack. Due to the absences of Ajer, Pinnock and van den Berg, the team will be without several executives, but the 4-3-3 system remains favored by Thomas Frank.

Brentford could well string together an away victory this Friday. Faced with a struggling Brighton, especially at home, Thomas Frank's men have all the cards in hand to win three points and thus move closer to the top 10 of the Premier League.

  • Side : 4.8
  • Bookmaker : Winamax

Last updated on 12/27/2024 at 11:13 a.m. Dimensions heights may vary.
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