Boxing Day: title up for grabs?
One thing is certain: it will be fun to try to guess every Premier League prediction because the matches will be very close in the next round of the championship in England… Boxing Day has a major impact on the English Premier League title race, and the matches that they are played one after the other and can have a certain impact on the progress of the championship.
While everyone expected another success for Manchester City at the end of the season, we instead find ourselves in a real three-way fight between the Reds of Liverpool, the Blues of Chelsea, second, and the Gunners of Arsenal, third.
With a decent advantage (5 points more with a game in hand), Liverpool could take a further step towards their 20th English championship title if they manage to manage the next matches between the end of December and the beginning of January. But be careful, the appointment list is anything but easy on paper!
Premier League Predictions
Boxing Day: the programme
Below is the program of the 8 matches that await us on Boxing Day, Thursday 26 December 2024:
- Manchester City – Everton I 13h30
- Newcastle – Aston Villa I 16h00
- Nottingham Forest – Tottenham I 16h00
- Bournemouth – Crystal Palace I 16h00
- Chelsea – Fulham I 16h00
- Southampton – West Ham I 16h00
- Wolverhampton – Manchester United I 18h30
- Liverpool – Leicester I 21h00
The following day (Friday 27th) two other matches are scheduled: Brighton-Brentford (8.30pm) and Arsenal-Ipswich Town (9.15pm). There will be a break on Saturday before the 19th round gets underway on Sunday 29th.
Premier League Predictions
Boxing Day: the statistics of the last two years
Let's move on to what probably interests sports betting on Boxing Day 2024 the most, namely the statistics that will help to better prepare any bets on the Premier League. Here are some data from the last two editions of Boxing Day:
- Home wins: 35%
- Draws: 5%
- Away wins: 60%
- Half goal: 3.65 goals per game
- Matches with Over 1.5 goals: 100%
- Matches with Over 2.5 goals: 85%
- Matches with Over 3.5 goals: 55%
- Matches with both teams scoring: 65%
- Matches with most goals in the first half: 30%
- Matches with most goals in the second half: 45%
- Matches with the same number of goals in both halves: 25%
- Most frequent result: 3-1 (30% of matches)
- A player scores 2 or more goals: 25% of matches
Some statistics are surprising. For example, the home win percentage is extremely low, with the visitors winning 6 out of 10 times. This may not be the case this year, as the favorites play at home (Manchester City, Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal in particular) , but watch out for surprises! These numbers are there for a reason.
Secondly, the average number of goals scored is very high, as are the overs. In general, Boxing Day sees a hail of goals, and this has been true for many years now. We often witness an exceptional show and, in a season in which the numbers are also high (3.03 goals average, 83% of Over 1.5, 60% of Over 2.5 and 35% of Over 3.5 ), this Boxing Day should be no exception! Offers at interesting odds, you can think about the number of goals and overs, for example.
We conclude with other data that could be useful for finding excellent odds for future bets on the Premier League. Not least the fact that almost half of the goals are scored in the second half, or that the most frequent result in the last two Boxing Days was 3-1, and which occurred in 3 out of 10 matches. Finally, it should also be underlined the ability of some players to shine during this event, and the fact that a player scores at least a double in a quarter of the matches is a very important figure. Now we have all the information to bet on the magnificent Boxing Day that awaits us tomorrow.
Premier League Predictions
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