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COTidienne | Cereals – Little change in cereal prices, due to the CBOT closure for Thanksgiving

THE prix soft wheat and corn have changed little on Euronext (apart from the December deadline which is no longer a reference) and thus on the walk hexagonal physics, due to the closure of the flagship indicator that constitutes the CBOT for the Thanksgiving festivities. The courses of thebarley fodder on hexagonal squares are also rather stable overall. The session of CBOT will be shortened today (closing at 1:00 p.m.), suggesting a low level of trade.

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The production of wheat of the EU is estimated at 112.3 Mt this year in its report of November 28. Without much effect on prices.

On the commercial level, Tunisia purchased 100,000 t of milling wheat at $257.5-260/t C&F, to be loaded in December-January 2024-2025, as well as 100,000 t of durum wheatbetween $346.71/t and $368.07/t, to be charged over December-January 2024-2025.

Let us point out an important event to monitor, which could have effects on international futures prices: the Mostakbal Misr Agency, created in 2022 by presidential decree, whose aim is to rehabilitate arable land in Egypt, announced that it seeks to secure the country's supplies of wheat and oil through direct purchases. She is currently looking for wheat for loading in January, on a CIF basis. Remember that usually, it is the GASC which carries out this task, via public calls for tenders. The media Reuters reports a testimony from an anonymous trader, who speaks of a means forEgypt to circumvent the unofficial minimum price system recommended by the Russian authorities. Russian exporters, however, said they would not sell wheat to the Egyptian agency unless Egypt notifies them that it is acting on behalf of the government, the media outlet reported. The Union of Russian Grain Exporters said it knew nothing about the owners of the new entity or its financial situation.
Reuters reports that representatives from Mostakbal Misr were present during the last GASC wheat tender on November 4, overseeing the process, via assertions from two Egyptian traders who attended the negotiations. They suspect the agency of wanting to supplant the GASC, they explain to the media. This will not be easy given the experience and network of the GASC. However, if trust is established and payments are made on time, the situation could change, unnamed operators told Reuters.

In butnote that the AGPM (General Association of Corn Producers) expects a French harvest of 13.9 Mt in 2024, compared to 14.4 Mt in the latest forecast from the statistical services of the Ministry of Agriculture (Agreste) .
The European Commission has revised EU corn production upwards, to a level close to 60 Mt.

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Fundamentals:

  • EU, wheat, production : 112.3 Mt in November 2024, 112.6 Mt previously (source: European Commission);
  • EU, corn, production : 59.6 Mt in November 2024, 58 Mt in October 2024 (source: European Commission);
  • , corn, production : 13,9 Mt en 2024 (source : AGPM).

Commerce international :

  • Tunisia, soft wheat, purchase : 100,000 t at $257.5-260/t C&F, loadings December-January 2024-2025 (private source);
  • Tunisia, durum wheat, purchase : 100,000 t at $346.71/t to $368.07/t, loadings December-January 2024-2025 (private source).

French physical markets from November 28, 2024 (July base for cereals)

Soft wheat Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
rendering 220/11 miller Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 219,50 N -0,50
Rendering La Pallice 76/220/11 Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 219,50 N -0,50
Rendering 76/220/11 Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 218,50 N -0,50
Pontivy/Guingamp rendering forage 74 kg/hl base, 72 kg/hl mini Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 213,50 N -0,50
Fob miller Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 223,50-224,50 N -0,50
Fob Rouen FCW Superior A2 class 1 major. included Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 227,02 -3,20
FCW Medium A3 class 2 major. included Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar inc.
Fob La Pallice FAW Superior A2 class 1 major. included Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 228,72 -2,70
Departure from BPMF 220 Hagberg Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 219,50 N -0,50
Departure from Eure/Eure-et-Loir BPMF 76 kg/hl Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 212,50-215,50 N -0,50
Departure South-East miller Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 225,00 N 0,00
Durum wheat Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Rendering Port-la-Nouvelle semolina standards Harvest 2024 Nov.-Dec. 300,00 N 0,00
Departure from Eure/Eure-et-Loir semolina standards Harvest 2024 Nov.-Dec. 290,00 N 0,00
Departure South-East semolina standards Harvest 2024 Nov.-Dec. 290,00 N 0,00
But Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
rendering Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 196,00 N -0,50
Rendering La Pallice Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 196,00 N -0,50
Pontivy/Guingamp rendering Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 204,00 N -0,50
Fob Bordeaux Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 200,00 N -0,50
Fob Rhin Harvest 2024 Nov.-Dec. 207,50 N -0,50
Harvest 2024 Jan-June 215,00-216,00 N 0,00
Departure South-East Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 205,00-210,00 N 0,00
Feed barley Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Rendering Rouen 62-63 kg/hl Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 190,50 N -0,50
Pontivy/Guingamp rendering Harvest 2024 Nov.-March 193,50 N -0,50
Fob Moselle without limit. orgettes Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 184,50-185,50 N -0,50
Departure from Eure/Eure-et-Loir Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 179,50 N -0,50
Departure South-East 62/63 kg/hl Harvest 2024 Jan-Mar 205,00 N 0,00
Malting barley – Winter 6 rows Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Fob Faro 11.5% max Port 500 t Harvest 2024 Jan-June 222,00 N 0,00
Malting barley – Spring Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Fob Creil Planet 11.5% max Port 500 t Harvest 2024 Jan-June 238,00 N 0,00

Quotations of milling products from November 26, 2024

Its fine soft wheat Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Ile-de-France available. 134,00-136,00 T
pellets available. 144,00-146,00 T
Half-white remolding Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Ile-de-France available. 169,00-171,00 T
Low flour Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
Departure from Ile-de-France available. 169,00-171,00 T

Commercial quotes for dairy products from November 21, 2024

Milk powder Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
NBPL departure at 30 days 5% H BT bulk available. 2500,00 T
Whey powder Specifications Due date euro/t Variation
NBPL departure at 30 days, BILA pH 6 bulk available. 870,00 T

Evolution dollar / euro du 28 novembre 2024

Devise Closing value
1 dollar US 0,9486 euro
1 euro 1,0542 dollar

Chicago Futures Market Closes November 27, 2024

Raw materials Fence Chicago
Wheat 537,75 cents/wood.
But 415,75 cents/wood.
Ethanol 2,161 $/gallon

Closing of the Euronext futures market on November 28, 2024

Milling wheat (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Dec. 2024 211,25
Mars 2025 222,00
May 2025 226,25
Volume 36131
Corn (Euronext)
Echéance Fence
Mars 2025 204,50
June 2025 210,50
August 2025 213,50
Volume 2996

International market quotes from November 28, 2024

Energy Echéance Closing value
Oil (Nymex) Jan. 2025 69,10 $
Ocean freight indices from November 28 Variation
Baltic Dry Index (BDI) 1419 -90,00
Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) 1028 -16,00
Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) 2312 -257,00
Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) 989 1,00
Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI) 661 -1,00
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