On November 9, 2024, at 4:30 p.m., Hamburg will host the highly anticipated clash between “St. Pauli” and the multi-time champions “Bayern Munich” at the “Millerntor” stadium.
Where to watch: Setanta Sports Ukraine
Injured: Ben Alexander Foll, Soren Alers, Sasha Burkhart, Philip Troy, Connor Metcalf, Elias Saad, Scott Banks, Simon Zoller – Aleksandar Pavlovic, Sven Ulreich, Sasha Buy, Hiroki Ito and Josip Stanisic.
As part of the tenth day of the Bundesliga, this Saturday, the new arrival from Hamburg, “St. Pauli”, will face the reigning champions “Bayern Munich”. The “Pirates” are unlucky to find themselves facing the championship favorites at this time, while Bayern are currently on a streak of four consecutive victories, without conceding a single goal. However, any match against Bayern represents a monumental challenge for ‘St. Pauli’, so it might be better to face this obligatory encounter rather than later.
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“St. Pauli”
In their last league outing, Alexander Blessin’s side picked up an away win against ‘Hoffenheim’, recording their first win after a three-game run that included two defeats and a draw. Some would argue that this result was not entirely deserved, with the visitors retaining possession just 32% of the time and having just seven shots on goal while conceding twelve. Yet who will remember that in May when those three points could prove vital for the ‘Pirates’ in their fight for survival in Germany’s top division? It was obvious since the summer and it is now that “St. Pauli” is fighting to avoid relegation. Currently positioned in 15th place in the standings, they can take solace in the fact that one of the relegation spots appears to be occupied, with “Bochum” only managing to secure one point after nine matches.
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Reflecting on ‘St. Pauli’s’ victory against ‘Hoffenheim’, Blessin highlighted the danger posed by the opposing wings, saying: “I am of course happy with our result, congratulating the players and all that, but I have to note that the opponent was very dangerous on the flanks. If we don’t learn from this, we will pay dearly in the next matches.” Furthermore, Blessin lamented that his players could have been more aggressive in possession, indicating that they should have created more scoring chances.
Regarding these scoring chances, Blessin’s observation is well-founded, as “St. Pauli” are currently at the bottom of the Bundesliga table for goals scored, with only seven to their name. Even the unfortunate “Bochum” managed to score more (nine)! Once again, it is crucial to highlight the very poor home form of the “Pirates”. They have played four Bundesliga matches at their home ground this 2024/25 season, suffering two defeats and drawing the other two without scoring. Having yet to find the net at the ‘Millerntor’ this season, the hosts are hoping to break this alarming statistic.
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“Bayern Munich”
While Blessin is concerned about the lack of flashiness in his team’s attack, Torino’s Kompany has little to complain about. Bayern’s star-studded attack creates countless chances in every game – however, not every chance comes to fruition. This was seen during their Champions League meeting with “Benfica”, where despite controlling possession (74%) and 24 shots, they were only able to win 1-0, scoring the only goal in midway through the second half. It is worth noting that their goalkeeper Trubin did not have to make any extraordinary saves, as Bayern missed several chances with inaccurate shots. Still, considering they lost their previous two Champions League matches, they should be happy with even a narrow victory.
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It must also be recognized that the Munich team has not conceded a goal in the last four consecutive matches. Since their heavy defeat against “Barcelona” on October 23, they have not conceded a single goal in the league, cup or Champions League. However, it must be said that their recent opponents – “Bochum”, “Mainz”, “Union” and “Benfica” – have not been the most formidable, allowing only one attempt on Neuer’s goal in 90 minutes . It is very likely that the championship leaders will keep their clean sheet in Hamburg too.
Kompany fully understands that this statistic has little value – what matters more is the humiliation they suffered at the hands of ‘Barcelona’, which exposed all of Bayern’s defensive weaknesses. “There’s always something to correct,” the coach says, and it’s hard to argue with that point.
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“St. Pauli” – “Bayern Munich”: Expected line-ups
For the hosts, they will have to do without three goalkeepers – Ben Alexander Foll, Soren Alers and Sasha Burkhart. Additionally, they will lose Philip Troy, Connor Metcalf, Elias Saad, Scott Banks and Simon Zoller. Blessin has had little luck, as not only is his team’s performance unbalanced, but injuries further complicate matters. Bayern, on the other hand, have fewer problems but will be without midfielder Aleksandar Pavlovic, goalkeeper Sven Ulreich and right back Sasha Buy, as well as Hiroki Ito and Josip Stanisic.
“St. Pauli” – “Bayern Munich”: Author’s prediction
Any result other than a solid victory for “Bayern Munich” would be considered a surprise. The hosts not only did not reach the level of the record masters, but also suffered injuries to several offensive players. And how can you counter a giant without offering them opportunities for counterattacks? “Benfica” tried, but could not even get a point. Therefore, the “Pirates” will not seek to take the battle against the Munichers, and they would be lucky to emerge from this fight with minimal losses. I predict a significant defeat for Bayern, who will probably score the goals they missed against “Benfica” in Hamburg.
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